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Using State Election Results to Predict the Fortunes of National Parties in Federal Polls in India

Bibliographic Data

ID11447388
AuthorsMatthew J Webb (Petroleum Institute, Dubai and Southern University, Gold Coast, Australia, corresponding author), Albert Wijeweera (0000-0002-4891-1474, Petroleum Institute, Dubai and Southern University, Gold Coast, Australia)
Year2015
Volume35
Issue2
Pages235-256
Publication date2015-07-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSouth Asia Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0262-7280 • E-ISSN: 1741-3141
PublisherSAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/0262728015581289
OpenAlexW1712738293
LanguageEN
References cited15

Using a multivariate regression analysis, this article examines linkages in major parties’ performance that contested legislative assembly and Parliamentary elections in India held within the subsequent 18 months over the period 1980–2009. The results are analysed according to a range of variables including party identity, incumbency and geographical region. The study’s finding that for a number of parties there is a strong and statistically significant linkage corroborates earlier studies and suggests that the allocation of resources by major parties to Legislative Assembly campaigns may be an effective strategy for maximising the party’s share of votes in subsequent Parliamentary elections

Demographic economics · Economics · General election · Legislative assembly · Legislature · Political economy · Political science · Politics · State (computer science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Politics and Society in Latin America · Public Administration · Southeast Asian Sociopolitical Studies

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Highly citedNo

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