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Evidence and Leverage

Comment on Roush

Bibliographic Data

ID11512759
AuthorsEric Christian Barnes (0000-0002-8018-8773, Southern Methodist University, corresponding author)
Year2008
Volume59
Issue3
Pages549-557
Publication date2008-08-24
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe British Journal for the Philosophy of Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0007-0882 • E-ISSN: 1464-3537
PublisherUniversity of Chicago Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1093/bjps/axn022
OpenAlexW2051381799
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited1

Sherrilyn Roush's Tracking Truth provides a sustained and ambitious development of the basic idea that knowledge is true belief that tracks the truth. In this essay, I provide a quick synopsis of Roush's book and offer a substantive discussion of her analysis of scientific evidence. Roush argues that, for e to serve as evidence for h, it should be easier to determine the truth value of e than it is to determine the truth value of h, an ideal she refers to as ‘leverage’. She defends a detailed method by which the value of p(h/e) is computed without ‘direct’ information about p(h) but only using evidence about the value of p(e), from which the value of p(h) is derived. She presents an example of how to use her leverage method, which I argue involves a certain critical mistake. I show how the leveraging method can be used in a way that is sound—I conclude with a few remarks about the importance of distinguishing clearly between prior and posterior probabilities

Epistemology · Leverage (statistics · Mistake · Political science · Truth value · Value (mathematics · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics · Law · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science · Science and Climate Studies

  • Replies

    Open Access•Sherrilyn Roush•Philosophy and Phenomenological…•2009

  • Précis of Tracking Truth

    Open Access•Sherrilyn Roush•Philosophy and Phenomenological…•2009

  • Does Roush show that evidence should be probable

    Open Access•Damien Fennell, Nancy Cartwright•Synthese•2010

  • Tracking Truth

    Sherrilyn Roush•TRACKING TRUTH: KNOWLEDGE,…•2005

Citations per year0.18
Citation span2009 - 2010 (2)
Highly citedNo

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