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Do statements about desired family size predict fertility? the case of Taiwan, 1967–1970

Bibliographic Data

ID11620411
AuthorsRonald Freedman (Population Studies Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48104, corresponding author), Albert I Hermalin (Population Studies Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48104), Ming-Cheng Chang (Committee on Family Planning, Taiwan Provincial Health Department, P.O. Box 1020, Taichung, Taiwan), Ming‐Cheng Chang (0000-0002-8377-1796)
Year1975
Volume12
Issue3
Pages407-416
Publication date1975-08-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueDemography (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0070-3370 • E-ISSN: 1533-7790
PublisherSpringer Science+Business Media (PUBLISHER • DE)
DOI10.2307/2060824
PMID1164936
OpenAlexW1988191515
LanguageEN
Citations received46
References cited4

The predictive accuracy of respondents' statements about their future fertility is examined, using interview data from a longitudinal study conducted in Taiwan. Two measures of preference are found to be highly intercorrelated; and regardless of which one is used, Taiwanese women are shown to predict their subsequent fertility at least as well as U.S. women. The preference measures are also predictive of rates of contraceptive use and abortion. While demographic and social characteristics are correlated with fertility in expected directions, statements about wanting more children prove to be highly predictive of subsequent fertility for both modern and less advanced segments of the population

Abortion · Biology · Family planning · Fertility · Population · Preference · Pregnancy · Research methodology · Sociology · Statistics · Total fertility rate · Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences · Demography · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Mathematics · Psychology · Reproductive Health and Contraception

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Unique citing works46
Citations per year0,87
Citation span1973 - 2024 (52)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 41

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