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Are Green Vehicles Worth the Extra Cost? The Case of Diesel‐Electric Hybrid Technology for Urban Delivery Vehicles

Bibliographic Data

ID11682177
AuthorsKerry Krutilla (corresponding author), John D Graham (0009-0007-4207-5800)
Year2012
Volume31
Issue3
Pages501-532
Publication date2012-05-16
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Policy Analysis and Management (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0276-8739 • E-ISSN: 1520-6688
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/pam.21641
OpenAlexW1903100048
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited21

A central question for environmental policy is whether the long‐term benefits of energy‐saving technologies are sufficient to justify their short‐term costs, and if so, whether financial incentives are needed to stimulate adoption. The fiscal effects of incentivizing new technologies, and the revenue effects of using the technology, are also policy relevant, given current fiscal constraints. This study evaluates the economic and fiscal effects of promoting diesel‐electric hybrid technology in urban delivery vehicles, an application supported by U . S . policymakers. An economic model is used to simulate the conditional probability density functions of the net present values ( NPV s) of diesel electric hybrids annually from 2012 to 2030. The NPV time paths, which reflect fuel price, environmental, and technology trends, show the expected dates that hybrids become economically viable, and allow an evaluation of the net benefits of hybrid technology as an investment over the entire simulation horizon. The NPV distributions are computed for five stakeholder classes, including transportation firms, parties benefiting from reduced externality damages, state and local governments, and the larger society. The analysis shows that hybrid technology investment does not appear to be justified from a societal perspective at a 7 percent discount rate, but the probability for positive net returns increases substantially at a 3 percent rate

Business · Economics · Environmental economics · Externality · Incentive · Investment (military · Microeconomics · Natural resource economics · Net present value · Production (economics · Public economics · Renewable energy · Revenue · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure · Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies · Engineering · Finance

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year0.4
Citation span2021 - 2021 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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