Criminal Deterrence
Evidence from an Individual‐Level Analysis of 24/7 Sobriety
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 11682804 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Beau Kilmer (0000-0002-9333-8080, RAND Corporation, corresponding author), Greg Midgette (0000-0003-2038-2950, Institute of Criminology) |
| Year | 2020 |
| Volume | 39 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 801-834 |
| Publication date | 2020-04-29 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Policy Analysis and Management (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0276-8739 • E-ISSN: 1520-6688 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1002/pam.22217 |
| PMID | 39917087 |
| OpenAlex | W3000086410 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 4 |
| References cited | 48 |
Decisionmakers continue to search for new ways to deter criminal behavior that do not rely on increasing the severity of punishment. This paper evaluates South Dakota's 24/7 Sobriety Program-a novel, large-scale intervention requiring those arrested for or convicted of an alcohol-related offense to abstain from alcohol and submit to alcohol tests multiple times daily. Those testing positive or missing a test receive a swift,certain, and moderate sanction; typically, a night or two in jail. To estimate the causal effect of the 24/7 program on the probability of rearrest or probation revocation for those arrested for a second or third driving under the influence (DUI) offense, we instrument an individual's 24/7 participation with program availability in the county of arrest. We estimate that the individual-level probability of rearrest or probation revocation is 13.7 percentage points (49 percent; p = 0.002) lower for 24/7 participants than non-participants 12 months after their DUI arrest. We detect substantive decreases at 24 and 36 months, but the precision of those estimates depends on model specification. These findings provide empricial support for applying "swift-certain-fair" sanctions to deter noncompliance in community supervision settings. This paper also provides policymakers with evidence for a new approach to reduce criminal activity among those whose alcohol use leads them to repeatedly threaten public health and safety
Computer security · Criminology · Deterrence (psychology · Driving under the influence · Environmental health · Injury prevention · Poison control · Political science · Prison · Psychiatry · Punishment (psychology · Recidivism · Revocation · Sanctions · Sobriety · Computer Science · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis · Law · Medicine · Psychology · Social Psychology · Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
When Brute Force Fails
Economic Costs of Excessive Alcohol Consumption in the U.S., 2006
Separate Neural Systems Value Immediate and Delayed Monetary Rewards
Criminal Deterrence
An Introduction to the Principles of Morals and Legislation
Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects
Mostly Harmless Econometrics
Effects of alcohol on human aggression
Offender Decision-Making in Criminology
Project Hope
Behavioral Science Critique of Hope
Moving beyond BAC in DUI
Economic Evaluation of the Hope Demonstration Field Experiment
Outcome Findings from the Hope Demonstration Field Experiment
All Implementation Is Local
Economic Implications of Hope from the Demonstration Field Experiment
Swift–Certain–Fair
Deterrence in the Twenty-First Century
Efficacy of Frequent Monitoring With Swift, Certain, and Modest Sanctions for Violations
Anticipation and the Valuation of Delayed Consumption
Tax Compliance and Perceptions of the Risks of Detection and Criminal Prosecution
| Citations per year | 0.8 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2021 - 2024 (4) |
| Highly cited | No |