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Could the Crisis at Northern Rock have been Predicted

An Evolutionary Approach

Bibliographic Data

ID11697347
AuthorsVictoria Chick (UCL Australia, corresponding author)
Year2008
Volume27
Issue1
Pages115-124
Publication date2008-04-09
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueContributions to Political Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0277-5921 • E-ISSN: 1464-3588
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1093/cpe/bzn007
OpenAlexW2123088551
LanguageEN
Citations received15

Bankers have, from their beginning, made their money by taking risks and deciding how much risk they dare take, by expanding gradually, testing the water. Within this framework, the first risk is of illiquidity, but they must also ensure solvency. The steps taken by Northern Rock in developing their present ‘business plan’ are the same as those taken by most other banks, responding to the same incentives. It is the rapidity of its expansion that resulted in its downfall. The steps that have been taken also by other banks can be traced back to the beginning of banking and are predictable. Northern Rock's difficulties were predictable – and were predicted

Business · Economics · Incentive · Market economy · Market liquidity · Monetary economics · Plan (archaeology · Solvency · Banking stability, regulation, efficiency · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Economic theories and models · Geology · Paleontology

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Unique citing works15
Citations per year0,88
Citation span2009 - 2025 (17)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 15

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