Do earthquakes increase or decrease crime
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 11914836 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Adan Silverio-Murillo (0000-0002-5966-8887, Tecnológico de Monterrey, corresponding author), Jose Roberto Balmori De La Miyar (0000-0002-6376-6893, Universidad Anáhuac), Jose Balmori-de-la-Miyar, Fernanda Sobrino (0000-0001-8901-6022, Tecnológico de Monterrey), Daniel Prudencio (0000-0001-8290-3235, Rice University) |
| Year | 2024 |
| Volume | 182 |
| Pages | 106711-106711 |
| Publication date | 2024-07-05 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | World Development (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0305-750X • E-ISSN: 1873-5991 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106711 |
| OpenAlex | W4400346187 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 36 |
Theories on the relationship between earthquakes and crime present mixed predictions. On the one hand, earthquakes improve individual cooperation, social trust, and crime reduction. On the other hand, earthquakes impact state capacity and enhance the prevalence of motivated offenders such as street gangs. This study empirically analyzes the effects of the September 2017 earthquakes in Mexico on personal crimes (assault and aggravated assault) and property crimes (vehicle theft, residential burglary, and vandalism). Using official police data, a difference-in-differences technique, and an event-study design, the results show that earthquakes increased assault by 14 percent and vandalism by 8 percent
Computer security · Criminology · Forensic engineering · Political science · Property crime · State (computer science · Violent crime · Computer Science · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance · Engineering · Mathematics · Psychology · Wildlife Conservation and Criminology Analyses
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| Citations per year | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2026 - 2026 (1) |
| Highly cited | No |