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For Whom the Retirement Bell Tolls

Accounting for Changes in the Expected Age of Retirement and the Incidence of Mandatory Retirement in Canada

Bibliographic Data

ID11969548
AuthorsRafael Sanz Gómez (0000-0003-0781-3891, University of Toronto, corresponding author), Rafael Gomez (0000-0003-3008-9627, University of Toronto), Morley Gunderson (0000-0002-2261-8827, University of Toronto)
Year2011
Volume37
Issue4
Pages513-539
Publication date2011-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueCanadian Public Policy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0317-0861 • E-ISSN: 1911-9917
PublisherUniversity of Toronto Press Inc. (UTPress) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.3138/cpp.37.4.513
OpenAlexW4250986185
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited11

Data from the 2002 and 1994 General Social Survey are used to analyze the determinants of retiring due to mandatory retirement and the expected age of retirement in Canada. Changes between 1994 and 2002 are decomposed into two components, one attributable to shifts in the composition of respondents and the other to changes in the preferences and/or constraints of respondents. Changing preferences and constraints play a very important role for both outcomes. Specifically, we first indentify a 1.3 percentage point drop in the probability of retiring due to mandatory retirement between 1994 and 2002, with that drop due entirely to preference or constraint changes. These changes offset changes in the composition of the workforce, which were working to increase the probability of retiring due to mandatory retirement. Second, we find an increase of 3.7 years in the expected age of retirement between 1994 and 2002, with that increase being almost exclusively attributable to preference/constraint shifts. The implications of these findings for employers, employees, and policy-makers are discussed

Constraint (computer-aided design · Demographic economics · Economics · Labour economics · Mandatory retirement · Pension · Percentage point · Preference · Retirement age · Workforce · Employment and Welfare Studies · Labor market dynamics and wage inequality · Retirement, Disability, and Employment · Finance

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Unique citing works4
Citations per year0.31
Citation span2013 - 2016 (4)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

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