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Precocity Predicts Shorter Life for Major League Baseball Players

Confirmation of McCann's Precocity-Longevity Hypothesis

Bibliographic Data

ID12097475
AuthorsErnest L Abel (Wayne State University, corresponding author), Michael Krüger (0000-0002-4996-7859, Wayne State University), Michael L Kruger
Year2007
Volume31
Issue10
Pages933-940
Publication date2007-09-19
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueDeath Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0748-1187 • E-ISSN: 1091-7683
PublisherTaylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/07481180701603428
PMID17924518
OpenAlexW2099997281
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited16

We tested McCann's precocity-longevity hypothesis, which proposes that early career achievement is related to premature death, for Major League baseball players (N = 3,760). Age at debut was the definition for precocity. We controlled for possible artifacts of life expectancy selection, the "healthy worker" effect, player position, and body-mass index. Statistically significant Pearson correlations occurred between precocity and longevity, and remained significant when adjusted for artifacts. In a hierarchical multiple regression, every year a baseball player debuted before the average age of 23.6 years was associated with life span being shortened by 0.24 years. The results support the hypothesis that earlier achievement is associated with earlier death

Expectancy theory · League · Life expectancy · Life span · Longevity · Population · Demography · Medicine · Optimism, Hope, and Well-being · Psychology · Social Psychology · Sports Analytics and Performance · Sports, Gender, and Society · Gerontology

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Citations per year0.25
Citation span2022 - 2022 (1)
Highly citedNo

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