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The Enhancing Effect of Overconfidence on Subsequent Learning Performance

Potential Mediation Effects of Dissatisfaction and Effort

Bibliographic Data

ID12166161
AuthorsYanling Bi (0000-0003-4193-3344, School of Psychology Shaanxi Normal University, and Shaanxi Province Key Laboratory of Behavior & Cognitive Neuroscience Xi'an China), Pei Liu (0000-0001-5330-9640, School of Psychology Shaanxi Normal University, and Shaanxi Province Key Laboratory of Behavior & Cognitive Neuroscience Xi'an China), Shu Li (0000-0003-4402-1674, Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, corresponding author), Li Shu (0000-0002-7445-7455, Key Laboratory of Behavioral Science, Institute of Psychology Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China), Baoshan Zhang (0000-0001-7083-1334, School of Psychology Shaanxi Normal University, and Shaanxi Province Key Laboratory of Behavior & Cognitive Neuroscience Xi'an China, corresponding author)
Year2016
Volume30
Issue2
Pages555-568
Publication date2016-07-29
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Behavioral Decision Making (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0894-3257 • E-ISSN: 1099-0771
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/bdm.1974
OpenAlexW2493150001
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited52

Three studies were conducted to investigate whether individuals whose performance on a learning task fell short of their previous overconfident self‐assessment would apply more effort on a subsequent task to resolve their dissatisfaction and thereby achieve better subsequent performance than individuals who made accurate or underconfident self‐assessments. Specifically, Study 1 and Study 2 used overestimation, and Study 3 used overplacement to predict subsequent performance by measuring students' self‐assessments before the first task, their level of dissatisfaction with their actual performance on that task, the effort they applied in learning, and their performance on the subsequent task. Furthermore, Study 3 divided the participants randomly into a false feedback group (the control group) and a real feedback group (the experimental group). The results showed that when controlling for prior performance, participants who were more overconfident tended to express greater dissatisfaction and increase more effort to achieve their desired outcomes when they perceived a gap between their desired performance and their actual performance. Notably, they achieved better subsequent performance, whereas those in the control group who were overconfident neither applied more effort in subsequent learning nor increased their subsequent performance when they received “unbiased feedback.” The implications of these findings for education are discussed. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd

Cognitive psychology · Control (management · Mediation · Overconfidence effect · Task (project management · Applied Psychology · Communication in Education and Healthcare · Computer Science · Memory Processes and Influences · Psychological and Educational Research Studies · Psychology · Social Psychology · Artificial Intelligence

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Citations per year0.2
Citation span2021 - 2021 (1)
Highly citedNo

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