Beliefs about what types of mechanisms produce random sequences
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12166327 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Deborah S Blinder (Princeton University), Daniel M Oppenheimer (0000-0002-2363-4220, Princeton University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2008 |
| Volume | 21 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 414-427 |
| Publication date | 2008-03-31 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Behavioral Decision Making (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0894-3257 • E-ISSN: 1099-0771 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1002/bdm.596 |
| OpenAlex | W2149197132 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 24 |
Although many researchers use Wagenaar's framework for understanding the factors that people use to determine whether a process is random, the framework has never undergone empirical scrutiny. This paper uses Wagenaar's framework as a starting point and examines the three properties of his framework—independence of events, fixed alternatives, and equiprobability. We find strong evidence to suggest that independence of events is indeed used as a cue toward randomness. Equiprobability has an effect on randomness judgments. However, it appears to work only in a limited role. Fixedness of alternatives is a complex construct that consists of multiple sub‐concepts. We find that each of these sub‐concepts influences randomness judgments, but that they exert forces in different directions. Stability of outcome ratios increases randomness judgments, while knowledge of outcome ratios decreases randomness judgments. Future directions for development of a functional framework for understanding perceptions of randomness are suggested. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
Construct (python library · Econometrics · Epistemology · Independence (probability theory · Mathematical economics · Outcome (game theory · Perception · Political science · Process (computing · Randomness · Range (aeronautics · Scrutiny · Statistics · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Mathematics · Psychology of Moral and Emotional Judgment · Sports Analytics and Performance
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Generation of random sequences by human subjects
Randomness and randomizers
Psychological conceptions of randomness
The Theory of Probability
The Origin of the Idea of Chance in Children
Belief in the law of small numbers
| Unique citing works | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,06 |
| Citation span | 2009 - 2009 (1) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |