Towards stability of food production and farm income in a variable climate
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12185170 |
|---|---|
| Authors | C Harkness (0000-0001-6831-0361, Rothamsted Research, corresponding author), Francisco J Areal (0000-0003-4625-7680, Newcastle University), Mikhail A Semenov (0000-0002-1561-7113, Rothamsted Research), Nimai Senapati (0000-0002-0238-6694, Rothamsted Research), I Shield (Rothamsted Research), Ian F Shield, Jacob Bishop (0000-0003-2114-230X, University of Reading) |
| Year | 2022 |
| Volume | 204 |
| Pages | 107676-107676 |
| Publication date | 2022-11-25 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Ecological Economics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0921-8009 • E-ISSN: 1873-6106 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2022.107676 |
| OpenAlex | W4310073526 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 4 |
| References cited | 45 |
Stable food production is vital for food security. Stability of farm income is also necessary to ensure the sustainability\nof food production and to protect livelihoods, in a changing climate. We analyse the relative effects of climate variability, subsidies and farming practices on the stability of food production and farm income. We examine farms in England and Wales between 2005 and 2017, and link farms to climate data at a sub-regional scale. Our results show that variability in temperature and rainfall reduces the stability of farm income and food production. While variability in climate can be largely outside of the farmers control our findings indicate that, under current conditions, farm management can have a larger effect on stability than climate. We identified three key aspects of farm management and policy that improve stability: i) increasing agricultural diversity, ii) increasing the efficiency of agrochemical use and iii) agri-environmental management. These management practices have previously been associated with benefits to natural ecosystems and may therefore increase the stability of agriculture whilst reducing negative impacts of farming on the environment. We also found differences in effect size of climate impacts and adaptation options between farm types, emphasising the need for flexible agricultural policies
Agricultural economics · Agricultural productivity · Agriculture · Business · Climate change · Economics · Environmental resource management · Farm income · Food processing · Food security · Geography · Livelihood · Natural resource economics · Net farm income · Production (economics · Subsidy · Sustainability · Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact · Climate change impacts on agriculture · Sustainable Agricultural Systems Analysis · Ecology
Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models (comment on article by Browne and Draper)
R-squared for Bayesian Regression Models
Precision Agriculture and Food Security
Sustainable development goals for people and planet
Collinearity
Resilience in Agriculture through Crop Diversification
Advanced Bayesian Multilevel Modeling with the R Package brms
Farm-Level Adaptation to Climatic Variability and Change
Inference from Iterative Simulation Using Multiple Sequences
BRMS
Global crop yield response to extreme heat stress under multiple climate change futures
Variations in the sensitivity of US maize yield to extreme temperatures by region and growth phase
The costs of human-induced evolution in an agricultural system
Specialisation and economies of scale or diversification and economies of scope? Assessing different agricultural development pathways
Precision Farming
| Citations per year | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2024 - 2026 (3) |
| Highly cited | No |