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Unravelling the relationship between employment, social transfers and income poverty

Policy and measurement

Bibliographic Data

ID12256261
AuthorsAndrás Gábos (0000-0002-9521-8162, TÁRKI Social Research Institute, Hungary, corresponding author), Barbara Binder (0000-0001-8258-1627, GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences), Réka Branyiczki (0000-0002-2793-0940, TÁRKI Social Research Institute, Hungary; Central European University, Austria), István György Tóth (0000-0001-6694-3026, TÁRKI Social Research Institute, Hungary)
Year2024
Volume34
Issue3
Pages289-308
Publication date2024-02-28
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of European Social Policy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0958-9287 • E-ISSN: 1461-7269
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/09589287241232272
OpenAlexW4392287585
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited31

Despite the rise in employment, consistently high EU-average poverty rates continue to generate debates about the factors that explain the level and changes in the relative poverty rate, both within and across countries. Assuming a strong negative correlation between poverty and employment, the article investigates the role of four mechanisms responsible for this blurred relationship. Using decomposition analysis and macro-level regression analysis, we investigate the extent to which (i) the distribution of employment across households with different levels of work intensity, (ii) the expansion of non-standard work, (iii) the change in the effectiveness of social welfare systems, and (iv) the change in median income and the corresponding shift in the poverty threshold have contributed to changes in relative income poverty in the last decades. We found that employment growth benefits poverty reduction, but this positive effect was partially offset by the precarious characteristics of some newly created jobs. If the distribution of jobs had favoured the jobless more in the pre-crisis period, the relative income poverty rate would have been lower. Although the share of persons in jobless households decreased during the recovery years, their risk of poverty increased due to the retrenchment of social transfers during and after the Great Recession. Furthermore, the use of a floating threshold, which is linked to changes in median income, underestimates the strength of the relationships between poverty, employment and social transfers: when the poverty threshold is kept fixed, not only do the dynamics of poverty look different, but the estimated coefficients are considerably larger

Demographic economics · Distribution (mathematics · Economic growth · Economics · Income distribution · Inequality · Labour economics · Macroeconomics · Political science · Poverty · Recession · Retrenchment · Welfare · Welfare state · Employment and Welfare Studies · Global Health Care Issues · Income, Poverty, and Inequality

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Unique citing works4
Citations per year4
Citation span2025 - 2026 (2)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 4

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