Observations on the connection between glacial phases, natural catastrophes and economic trends of the last millennium in Italy
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12267136 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Pier Luigi Bragato (0000-0003-3634-1053, Sezione Centro di Ricerche Sismologiche, Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale – OGS, Italy, corresponding author), Hanspeter Holzhauser (UNESCO World Heritage Swiss Alps Jungfrau-Aletsch, Switzerland) |
| Year | 2019 |
| Volume | 29 |
| Issue | 8 |
| Pages | 1322-1334 |
| Publication date | 2019-05-09 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | The Holocene (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0959-6836 • E-ISSN: 1477-0911 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0959683619846984 |
| PMID | 34955614 |
| OpenAlex | W2944275910 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 72 |
Humanity has often faced critical phases determined by climate changes combined with other natural catastrophes that implied significant socio-economic consequences. In this article, we present an observational study on the possible systematic connection between these factors for the specific case of Italy, comparing the occurrence of pandemics, earthquakes, and volcanic eruptions with the glacial history of the last millennium. We have found that the natural catastrophes concentrate in the periods of ice expansion in Europe, whereas the phenomena are in attenuation in the current phase of global warming. Such a behavior has influenced the economy of the country: in fact, a comparison with a reconstruction of the per capita Gross Domestic Product since 1310 shows that the periods of maximum economic expansion occurred during the deglaciation phases. This study has confirmed the general connection of the climate with a number of Earth processes and the difficulty to foresee its changes. Furthermore, the extension of the analysis at the world level for the last 2500 years has evidenced that different types of pandemics (plague, cholera and influenza) almost exclusively spread during the phases of glacial expansion
Climate change · Climatology · Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19 · Deglaciation · Economic growth · Economics · Geography · Glacial period · Global warming · Gross domestic product · Meteorology · Natural disaster · Pandemic · Physical geography · earthquake and tectonic studies · Landslides and related hazards · Yersinia bacterium, plague, ectoparasites research · Geology · Oceanography · Paleontology
Global Crisis
The Anthropogenic Greenhouse Era Began Thousands of Years Ago
Global Climate and Infectious Disease
Causes of Climate Change Over the Past 1000 Years
The long decline of a leading economy
The ‘little ice age’
Abrupt onset of the Little Ice Age triggered by volcanism and sustained by sea‐ice/ocean feedbacks
Northern hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium
Pandemics and passages to late antiquity
Glacier and lake-level variations in west-central Europe over the last 3500 years
Tambora
Timescales and cultural process at 40,000 BP in the light of the Campanian Ignimbrite eruption, Western Eurasia
| Highly cited | No |
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