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Miscalculating One’s Enemies

Russian Military Intelligence before the Russo-Japanese War

Bibliographic Data

ID12309043
AuthorsBruce W Menning (corresponding author)
Year2006
Volume13
Issue2
Pages141-170
Publication date2006-02-22
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueWar in History (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0968-3445 • E-ISSN: 1477-0385
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1191/0968344506wh334oa
OpenAlexW2069406757
LanguageEN
Citations received4

On the basis of archival and printed sources, this article examines the role that Russian military intelligence played in miscalculating the Japanese threat before the outbreak of the Russo-Japanese war of 1904-05. The treatment focuses on three general problem areas: assessments of Japanese military and naval strength and combat readiness; perceptions of war imminence and the related possibility of surprise; and Japanese intentions. Evidence indicates that the overall quality of intelligence was uneven, although reasonably accurate with regard to the Japanese navy. However, genuine situational and structural constraints clouded perceptions of the Japanese ground forces. Still other constraints obscured Russian perceptions of war imminence and Japanese intentions. The cumulative result was that Russia would enter far eastern conflict at a substantial disadvantage

Disadvantage · Navy · Perception · Political science · Situational ethics · Surprise · History · Intelligence, Security, War Strategy · Japanese History and Culture · Law · Psychology · Social Psychology

  • Russian Military Intelligence, July 1914

    Open Access•Bruce W Menning, Bruce Menning•Historian•2015

  • Communities of practice, impression management, and great power status

    Open Access•Kiran Banerjee, James Mackay•European Journal of International…•2020

  • Information, Commitment, and the Russo-Japanese War of 1904-1905

    Open Access•Philip Streich, Jack S Levy•Foreign Policy Analysis•2014

  • Shifting power, preventive logic, and the response of the target

    Jack S Levy, William Mulligan•Journal of Strategic Studies•2017

Citations per year0.33
Citation span2014 - 2020 (7)
Highly citedNo

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