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The Deadly Cost of Informal Lending

An Economic Model of Agrarian Suicide in Punjab

Bibliographic Data

ID12326468
AuthorsDaniel K N Johnson (0000-0002-5142-0940, Colorado College, corresponding author), Lakhwinder Singh (0000-0001-5829-5161, Institute for Human Development (IHD), New Delhi, India), Kesar Singh Bhangoo (Thapar Institute of Engineering & Technology), Tianyi Qin (0000-0003-1837-8776, University of Chicago)
Year2023
Volume16
Issue4
Pages659-683
Publication date2023-08-09
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueMillennial Asia (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2321-7081 • E-ISSN: 0976-3996
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/09763996231180145
OpenAlexW4385701329
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited13

The Indian state of Punjab, which initially benefited greatly from the green revolution, has suffered from a dramatic rise in agrarian suicides for several decades. We use a carefully constructed sample of over 1,000 farmers in the epicentre, and build a three-stage model of agricultural production decisions across multiple input and multiple output choices, indebtedness from multiple sources and suicide via an IPWRA (inverse probability weighted regression adjustment) treatment model to trace the potential roots of the situation. Results show that the use of informal credit from commission agents by farmers accounts for 10 percentage points (or 20%) of all suicides in our sample, regardless of other household factors and choices

Agrarian society · Agricultural economics · Agriculture · Commission · Economics · Geography · Green Revolution · Inverse probability · Macroeconomics · Production (economics · Sample (material · Statistics · Agricultural Economics and Practices · Agricultural risk and resilience · Income, Poverty, and Inequality · Mathematics · Finance

  • Rural Labour Transitions in Punjab

    Open Access•Gurpreet Singh, Nivedita Sharma•Millennial Asia•2026

  • Efficient semiparametric estimation of multi-valued treatment effects under ignorability

    Open Access•Matias D Cattaneo•Journal of Econometrics•2010

  • Crop-damaging temperatures increase suicide rates in India

    Open Access•Tamma Carleton•Proceedings of the National…•2017

  • Inverse probability weighted estimation for general missing data problems

    Open Access•Jeffrey M Wooldridge•Journal of Econometrics•2007

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    Open Access•Ira N Gang, Rajesh Raj Natarajan et al.•The Journal of Development Studies•2022

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    Montek S Ahluwalia•The Journal of Development Studies•1978

  • Income Shocks and Suicides

    Cornelius Christian, Lukas Hensel et al.•The Review of Economics and…•2019

  • Access to Modern Agricultural Technologies and Farmer Household Welfare

    Open Access•Rajeev Sharma, Gurpreet Singh•Millennial Asia•2015

  • Agricultural Mechanization in India

    Open Access•Anupam Sarkar•Millennial Asia•2020

  • Green Revolution and the Small Peasant

    Satish Deshpande, G S Bhalla et al.•Social Scientist•1984

Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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