The 2011 Debt-Ceiling Controversy and the 2012 US House Elections
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12377933 |
|---|---|
| Authors | James E Monogan (0000-0002-1968-6052, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 48 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 420-424 |
| Publication date | 2015-06-19 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | PS Political Science & Politics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1049-0965 • E-ISSN: 1537-5935 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1017/s1049096515000177 |
| OpenAlex | W2498573942 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 16 |
This article considers how a key legislative vote—that is, the August 2011 vote to raise the federal debt ceiling—influenced the 2012 elections for the US House of Representatives. Two outcomes are analyzed: (1) the incumbents’ ability to retain their seats through the 2012 general election, and (2) their share of the two-party vote for members who faced a general-election competitor. In developing this study, the research design was registered and released publicly before the votes were counted in 2012. Therefore, this article also illustrates how study preregistration can work in practice for political science. The findings show that seat retention did not vary with the treatment; however, incumbents who voted against raising the debt ceiling earned an additional 2.4 percentage points of the two-party vote
Business · Ceiling (cloud · Debt · General election · House of Representatives · Legislature · Lower house · Parliament · Political science · Politics · Work (physics · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Engineering · Law · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies · Public Administration · Social Policy and Reform Studies · Finance
The Elections of 2012
Elbridge Gerry's Salamander
Senate Elections
Multivariate Matching Methods That Are Monotonic Imbalance Bounding
The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects
Behind the Curve
Candidate Positioning in U.S. House Elections
Policy representation of constituency interests
The perils of presidential support
Fishing, Commitment, and Communication
A Case for Registering Studies of Political Outcomes
Electoral Incentives and Partisan Conflict in Congress
The Electoral Costs of Party Loyalty in Congress
Out of Step, Out of Office
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |