A General Path of Incumbencies
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12378468 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Alfred G Cuzán (0000-0002-1239-1390, University of West Florida, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Volume | 59 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 33-37 |
| Publication date | 2025-08-15 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | PS Political Science & Politics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1049-0965 • E-ISSN: 1537-5935 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1017/s1049096525101182 |
| OpenAlex | W4413469368 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 8 |
With a larger and more diverse set of countries than Cuzán and Heggen (2023a) studied, this article completes a general path of incumbencies that was partially traced by their “cruise and crash” model of the cost of ruling. The missing piece is a bump in the share of the vote in the party’s first reelection. The electoral “bonus” holds more or less steadily until the crash, at which point the vote plunges about 20% below the original win. The analysis suggests that the path of the vote in long-term incumbencies follows a general pattern that is shaped like an inverted asymmetrical letter U or W
Crash · Econometrics · Economics · General election · Geometry · Mathematical economics · Path (computing · Percentage point · Physics · Point (geometry · Political science · Politics · Set (abstract data type · Statistics · Term (time · Computer Science · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Law · Mathematics
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |