How the War Began
Conceptualizing Conflict Escalation in Ukraine’s Donbas
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12428697 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jakob Hauter (0000-0003-0625-8531, PhD Student, School of Slavonic and East European Studies, Faculty of Social & Historical Sciences, University College London London UK, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 48 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 135-163 |
| Publication date | 2021-01-25 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | The Soviet and Post-Soviet Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1075-1262 • E-ISSN: 1876-3324 |
| Publisher | Brill (PUBLISHER • NL) |
| DOI | 10.30965/18763324-20201380 |
| OpenAlex | W3128503359 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 3 |
This article proposes a new theoretical framework based on conflict escalation theory and the concept of critical junctures to facilitate a more transparent analysis of the war in Ukraine’s Donbas. It argues that researchers have proposed a variety of causes of the outbreak of violence in the region. However, in the absence of an overarching theoretical framework, it remains difficult to analyse the interplay of these causes and compare their explanatory power. In response, this article develops a theory-guided escalation sequence model. According to this model, the conflict’s formative phase consisted of an escalation sequence that lasted from April until August 2014 and comprised six critical junctures. This article argues that attempts to explain the conflict should be evaluated and compared in terms of their ability to explain these critical junctures. It concludes that similar escalation sequence models could improve research on armed conflict beyond the case of the Donbas
Conflict analysis · Conflict resolution · Epistemology · Explanatory power · Formative assessment · Political economy · Political science · Power (physics · Sequence (biology · Sociology · Variety (cybernetics · Computer Science · Environmental and Biological Research in Conflict Zones · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
| Unique citing works | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,6 |
| Citation span | 2021 - 2025 (5) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 3 |