Unemployment, divorce, and longevity
The major factors of the fertility upward evolution in Tunisia, during 1998-2018: a dynamic panel data analysis
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12447065 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Olfa Frini (0000-0002-7880-8259, Institut Supérieur de Comptabilité et d’Administration des Entreprises, ISCAE, Manouba University Tunisia & ECSTRA Lab, Carthage University, Tunisia, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2024 |
| Volume | 29 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 373-392 |
| Publication date | 2024-06-07 |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | The History of the Family (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1081-602X • E-ISSN: 1873-5398 |
| Publisher | Taylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/1081602x.2024.2360990 |
| OpenAlex | W4399430172 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 45 |
After a long decline, fertility in Tunisia, as in some Arab countries like Algeria and Egypt, recorded an unexpected increasing trend over the 2000 – 2018 period. To account for such demographic change, this paper re-examined the behavior of the main fertility decline factors tested by the previous empirical studies (such as education, income, mortality, and contraceptive use) to check whether they have changed in favor of an upward fertility evolution. Deepening the analysis, it introduced three new socio-economic factors that are likely to favor fertility increase: divorce, unemployment, and longevity. The dynamic one-step generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation on a cylindrical data panel from 1998 to 2018 for eight Tunisian regions confirmed the positive effect of these new variables. Additionally, the education-fertility interaction was found to be no longer obvious. The family planning program appeared to no longer play its role in limiting fertility. The income effect overcame the substitution effect in favor of a fertility increase. The observed increasing fertility trend in Tunisia seems to be more explained by the dominance of some sociocultural factors. Thus, policymakers should seek to better focus on the family institution's behavior to sustain fertility decline and improve the efficiency of its family planning program
Biology · Demographic economics · Econometrics · Economic growth · Economics · Fertility · Longevity · Panel data · Population · Sociology · Unemployment · Demography · Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics · Global Health Care Issues · Multiculturalism, Politics, Migration, Gender · Genetics
Theory of fertility decline
Cross-country relationships between life expectancy, intertemporal choice and age at first birth
The Demographic Transition
Accounting for Fertility Decline During the Transition to Growth
Vanishing Children
Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models
The demographic transition
Fertility in Advanced Societies
The Socioeconomic Determinants of Fertility Rates in Muslim Countries
The mid-twentieth century fertility boom from a global perspective
Family transitions in Latin America
The effect of child care and part time opportunities on participation and fertility decisions in Italy
Divorce law and family formation
Demographic transition and economic growth
Education and fertility in sub-Saharan africa
Women's Education and Fertility
An Economic Framework for Fertility Analysis
Monitoring Contraceptive Continuation
La fécondité et ses déterminants économiques
Fertility Response to Child Mortality
On the Interaction between the Quantity and Quality of Children
A Theory of the Allocation of Time
The Effects of Fertility Intentions and Access to Services on Contraceptive Use in Tunisia
Trends in the age at reproductive transitions in the developing world
Africa's Unique Fertility Transition
Population Growth and Economic Development in Low-Income Countries. A Case Study of India's Prospects
Exploring the fertility trend in Egypt
Socioeconomic status and fertility before, during, and after the demographic transition
Multilevel Modelling of Individual Fertility Decisions in Tunisia
| Highly cited | No |
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