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La lucha contra el desempleo tecnológico. Análisis de casos subnacionales en México

Bibliographic Data

ID12515920
AuthorsEnrique Cabrero Mendoza (0009-0008-5088-1957), Miguel Adolfo Guajardo Mendoza
Year2022
Issue82
Pages225-252
Publication date2022-01-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueReforma y democracia (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1315-2378 • E-ISSN: 2443-4620
PublisherCentro Latinoamericano de Administración para el Desarrollo (PUBLISHER • VE)
DOI10.69733/clad.ryd.n82.a292
OpenAlexW4400228951
LanguageES
References cited21

This paper studies the risk of technological unemployment in Mexico, both at the national level and in two states: Querétaro (QRO) and San Luis Potosí (SLP). Using the methodology of Frey and Osborne (2013) adapted to the INEGI’s National Occupations System, it was found that both QRO (51%) and SLP (57%) are below the national average (67%) in terms of technological unemployment risk. However, the situation changes when analyzing some strategic sectors in QRO, such as food with an average unemployment rate of 84%, automotive with 75% and household appliances with 92%. The same occurs in SLP, where the food sector reaches 95% and the automotive sector 93%. Therefore, this phenomenon cannot be analyzed only from a national or state perspective, a sectoral look is also required. In addition, it was found that the probability of being at high risk is higher for women, younger age groups, and people with lower levels of education on average. Finally, it was identified that for all the sectors studied, the great mass of people at high risk is found in the middle schooling segments. This could be interpreted as an imminent polarization of employment, which would imply the concentration of the employed at the extremes, in terms of skills, with a gradual disappearance of the segments in the middle. The question remains open: What public policy agenda should Latin American countries deploy in this area

Automotive industry · Business · Demographic economics · Development economics · Economic growth · Economics · Latin Americans · Phenomenon · Polarization (electrochemistry · Political science · Unemployment · Youth unemployment · Employment and Welfare Studies · Engineering · Labor market dynamics and wage inequality

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Highly citedNo

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