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Is the Thai government revenue-spending nexus asymmetric

Bibliographic Data

ID12550346
AuthorsKomain Jiranyakul (0000-0002-3918-6266, National Institute of Development Administration, corresponding author)
Year2022
Volume28
Issue2
Pages404-419
Publication date2022-03-07
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of the Asia Pacific Economy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1354-7860 • E-ISSN: 1469-9648
PublisherRoutledge (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/13547860.2022.2046935
OpenAlexW3124237469
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited36

Recent evidence suggests that there might be an asymmetric process of adjustment towards the long-run equilibrium in the government revenue-spending nexus. In this paper, the long-run relationship between government revenue and spending is examined in the case of Thailand using annual data over the period 1991–2019. Specifically, this is an attempt to determine whether this long-run relationship is linear or nonlinear. In doing so, both linear and nonlinear cointegration tests are employed. The empirical results suggest that the positive long-run relationship between revenue and spending is linear and stable when revenue is the dependent variable. By estimating the TAR and MTAR models, evidence of a nonlinear revenue-spending relationship is not found. Therefore, there does not seem to be asymmetric adjustment toward the long-run equilibrium. The results of causality tests based on the estimated ECMs of linear cointegrating equations show no causality between revenue and spending in the short run, supporting the fiscal institutional separation hypothesis. In the long run, there is unidirectional causality running from government spending to revenue, which supports the fiscal spend-and-tax hypothesis

Causality (physics · Cointegration · Econometrics · Economics · Government revenue · Government spending · Macroeconomics · Market economy · Monetary economics · Nexus (standard · Revenue · Short run · Tax revenue · Welfare · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Finance

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Citations per year1
Citation span2024 - 2025 (2)
Highly citedNo

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