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A systematic account of probabilistic fallacies in legal fact-finding

Bibliographic Data

ID12595592
AuthorsChristian Dahlman (0000-0003-3118-9486, Lund University, corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume28
Issue1
Pages45-64
Publication date2023-10-29
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe International Journal of Evidence & Proof (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1365-7127 • E-ISSN: 1740-5572
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/13657127231209019
OpenAlexW4388108587
LanguageEN
References cited27

Evidence scholars have observed probabilistic fallacies in legal fact-finding and given them names since the 1980s (for example ‘Prosecutor's Fallacy’ and ‘Defense Attorney's Fallacy’). This has produced a rather un-organised list of over a dozen different probabilistic fallacies. In this article, the author proposes a systematic account where the observed probabilistic fallacies are organised in categories. Hierarchical relations between probabilistic fallacies are highlighted, and some fallacies are re-named to reflect the category they belong to and their relation to other fallacies in that category. All fallacies are precisely defined and illustrated with examples from real cases where they are committed by fact-finders. The result is a list of 12 probabilistic fallacies organised into 7 categories

Data mining · Epistemology · Fallacy · Political science · Probabilistic logic · Relation (database · Artificial Intelligence in Law · Computer Science · Jury Decision Making Processes · Law · Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems · Philosophy

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    Laurence H Tribe•Harvard Law Review•1971

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    Open Access•Hans V Hansen•Argumentation•2002

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    Open Access•Mark Colyvan, Helen M Regan•The International Journal of…•2007

  • How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear

    Gerd Gigerenzer•European Review of Social…•1991

Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo

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