Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

The monetary benefit of early flood warnings in Europe

Bibliographic Data

ID12665196
AuthorsFlorian Pappenberger (0000-0003-1766-2898, University of Bristol, corresponding author), Hannah Cloke (0000-0002-1472-868X, University of Reading), Hannah L Cloke, Dennis J Parker (Middlesex University), Fredrik Wetterhall (0000-0001-5331-9064, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), David Richardson (0000-0002-1864-3907), David S Richardson (0000-0002-5182-7898, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), Jutta Thielen (Joint Research Centre)
Year2015
Volume51
Pages278-291
Publication date2015-05-15
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Science & Policy (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1462-9011 • E-ISSN: 1873-6416
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.envsci.2015.04.016
OpenAlexW340672807
LanguageEN
Citations received27
References cited56

Effective disaster risk management relies on science-based solutions to close the gap between prevention and preparedness measures. The consultation on the United Nations post-2015 framework for disaster risk reduction highlights the need for cross-border early warning systems to strengthen the preparedness phases of disaster risk management, in order to save lives and property and reduce the overall impact of severe events. Continental and global scale flood forecasting systems provide vital early flood warning information to national and international civil protection authorities, who can use this information to make decisions on how to prepare for upcoming floods. Here the potential monetary benefits of early flood warnings are estimated based on the forecasts of the continental-scale European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) using existing flood damage cost information and calculations of potential avoided flood damages. The benefits are of the order of 400 Euro for every 1 Euro invested. A sensitivity analysis is performed in order to test the uncertainty in the method and develop an envelope of potential monetary benefits of EFAS warnings. The results provide clear evidence that there is likely a substantial monetary benefit in this cross-border continental-scale flood early warning system. This supports the wider drive to implement early warning systems at the continental or global scale to improve our resilience to natural hazards

Business · Cartography · Damages · Early warning system · Economic growth · Economics · Emergency management · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Flood myth · Flood warning · Geography · Meteorology · Natural disaster · Political science · Preparedness · Resilience (materials science · Risk analysis (engineering · Risk management · Scale (ratio · Warning system · Computer Science · Environmental Science · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Hydrology and Drought Analysis · Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Finance

  • Climate Disaster Preparedness

    Open Access•Michael Ostwald, Dennis Del Favero et al.•Climate Disaster Preparedness•2024

  • Weather Forecast Perceptions of Saudi Arabian Citizens

    Abdulrahman Khamaj, Amin G Alhashim et al.•Weather, Climate, and Society•2021

  • Modeling the Dynamics of Social Preparedness with Regional Interactions to Explore Efficient Flood Early Warning Systems

    Open Access•Hitomu Kotani, Wataru Ogawa et al.•Weather, Climate, and Society•2024

  • A Web GIS Platform to Modeling, Simulate and Analyze Flood Events

    Open Access•Alberto Rodrigues da Silva, Jacinto Estima et al.•ISPRS International Journal of…•2023

  • Early warning, adaptation to extreme weather, and attenuation of economic losses

    Open Access•Jianjun Tang, Anran Liu et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2023

  • Em-Dat

    Open Access•Damien Delforge, Valentin Wathelet et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2025

  • Are traditional hazard-based weather warnings anticipating local impact

    Open Access•Jordi Morales, Xavier Llort et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2026

  • Identifying societal challenges in flood early warning systems

    Open Access•Duminda Perera, Jetal Agnihotri et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2020

  • Cost-benefit analysis of flood early warning system in the Karnali River Basin of Nepal

    Open Access•Rajesh Kumar Rai, Marc Van Den Homberg et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2020

  • A cost-benefit analysis of flood early warning system

    Open Access•Abu Reza Md Towfiqul Islam, Abdullah Al Mamun et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2024

  • Dynamic flood evacuation modelling for coastal cities

    Open Access•Yuhan Yang, Jie Yin et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2025

  • Effects of disaster risk reduction on socio-economic development and poverty reduction

    Open Access•Kohei Okuda, Akiyuki Kawasaki•International Journal of Disaster…•2022

  • Assessment of pre-simulated scenarios as a non-structural measure for flood management in case of levee-breach inundations

    Open Access•Susanna Dazzi, Renato Vacondio et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2022

  • Public preferences for flood warning improvements

    Open Access•Katsuya Tanaka, Kazuhide Akaishi et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2025

  • Bridging gaps, saving lives

    Open Access•Anup Shrestha, Anise McCrone et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2025

  • Reevaluating the benefit of flood risk management for flood-prone livelihoods

    Open Access•Chinami Yamagami, Akiyuki Kawasaki•International Journal of Disaster…•2024

  • Benefit–Cost Analysis of Low-Cost Flood Inundation Sensors

    Adam Rose, Dan Wei et al.•Natural Hazards Review•2023

  • Economic Value of Flood Forecasts and Early Warning Systems

    Open Access•George Van Houtven•Natural Hazards Review•2024

  • Flood Impacts on Civil Infrastructure Systems

    Ruth Abegaz, Jun Xu et al.•Natural Hazards Review•2026

  • Scalable and Sustainable

    Open Access•Cecilia Costella, Catalina Jaime et al.•IDS Bulletin•2017

  • Sistema de alerta de desastre baseado no CEP

    Open Access•Murilo Noli Da Fonseca, Carlos Mello Garcias et al.•Cadernos Metrópole•2023

  • How do I know if I’ve improved my continental scale flood early warning system

    Open Access•Hannah Cloke, Hannah L Cloke et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2017

  • Flood risk assessment in Limbe (Cameroon) using a GIS weighed sum method

    Open Access•Lucy Deba Enomah, Joni Downs et al.•Environment Development and…•2023

  • Spatiotemporal changes of manufacturing firms in the flood prone Yangtze Delta

    Sisi Jiao, Weijiang Li et al.•Environmental Hazards•2021

  • Flood data platform governance

    Open Access•Mahardika Fadmastuti, David J Nowak et al.•Environmental Science & Policy•2024

  • Adapting or maladapting

    Open Access•Elnaz Torabi, Aysin Dedekorkut-Howes et al.•Cities•2018

  • Building resilience to climate risks through social protection

    Open Access•Martina Ulrichs, Ruth Slater et al.•Disasters•2019

  • On Measuring Economic Values for Nature

    Nancy E Bockstael, A Myrick Freeman et al.•Environmental Science & Technology•2000

  • Assessing flood risk at the global scale

    Open Access•Philip J Ward, Brenden Jongman et al.•Environmental Research Letters•2013

  • Modelling the potential damage-reducing benefits of flood warnings using European cases

    Sally Priest, Dennis J Parker et al.•Environmental Hazards•2011

  • Can natural disasters have positive consequences? Investigating the role of embodied technical change

    Open Access•Stephane Hallegatte, Patrice Dumas•Ecological Economics•2008

  • Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond)

    Open Access•Elisabeth Stephens, Hannah Cloke•Geographical Journal•2014

Unique citing works27
Citations per year3
Citation span2017 - 2026 (10)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 27

Tools

Open DOISci-HubOpen Access
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae