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Submarine warfare and intelligence in the Atlantic and Pacific in the Second World War

Comparisons and lessons learned for two opponents

Bibliographic Data

ID12698136
AuthorsRomney B Duffey (DSM Associates Inc., Ammon, ID, USA, corresponding author)
Year2017
Volume19
Issue2
Pages143-167
Publication date2017-07-03
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal for Maritime Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1469-1957 • E-ISSN: 2153-3369
PublisherTaylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/21533369.2017.1412680
OpenAlexW2783483709
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited10

A unique study has been undertaken examining the impact of submarine performance and countermeasures in two different oceans during the Second World War using official declassified data. This analysis is for two distinct zones of combat, using essentially and simultaneously the same offensive technology (submarines) and defensive strategies (intelligence and signal de-coding). It has been previously shown that learning curves are present in the rate of losses in conflicts between opponents. This analysis compares for the first time the performance of German submarines in the Atlantic attacking Allied convoys with that of American submarines operating in the Pacific against Japanese shipping. For these two theatres of conflict, the rates of sinking of target ships are evaluated, which therefore includes the effectiveness of ‘communications intelligence’ (Comint) and ‘decryption intelligence’ (DI). The choice of the relevant risk exposure measure can be derived and proved. Surprisingly, no difference was found in the warfare sinking rates achieved by the submarine fleets operating in these two vastly different oceans. This similarity must be due to common random search and human learning techniques, and not to employing differing Comint and DI technology. This result has significance to present-day warfare studies and to search theory

Aeronautics · Archaeology · Computer security · German · Offensive · Operations research · Submarine · Computer Science · Engineering · History · Intelligence, Security, War Strategy · Military Defense Systems Analysis · Military Strategy and Technology · Artificial Intelligence · Geology · Oceanography

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  • The Official Chronology of the U.S. Navy in World War II

    Norman Polmar, Robert J Cressman et al.•The Journal of Military History•2001

  • German U-Boat Losses during World War II

    Eric C Rust, Axel Niestle•The Journal of Military History•1999

  • A History of U.S. Communications Intelligence during World War II

    John P Finnegan, Robert Louis Benson•The Journal of Military History•1998

  • The Navy Times Book of Submarines

    Timothy P Mulligan, Brayton Harris et al.•The Journal of Military History•2002

Citations per year0.13
Citation span2018 - 2018 (1)
Highly citedNo

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