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Seeking a strategic cross boundary solution to the Indus Water basin sharing decisions

Bibliographic Data

ID12706271
AuthorsS K Nawaz Ahmed (0000-0001-7770-6165, Department of Economics Abdul Wali Khan University Mardan Mardan Pakistan, corresponding author), Javed Iqbal (0000-0003-0598-8401, Department of Economics Abdul Wali Khan University Mardan Mardan Pakistan), Zahoor Ul Haq (0000-0001-6813-6746, Department of Economics Abdul Wali Khan University Mardan Mardan Pakistan)
Year2020
Volume22
Issue3
Publication date2020-10-09
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Public Affairs (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1472-3891 • E-ISSN: 1479-1854
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/pa.2367
OpenAlexW3091985914
LanguageEN
References cited38

Indus Basin is the second largest river basin in Asia shared by China, India, Pakistan and Afghanistan. Rapid climatic changes and exponential population growth have put tremendous pressure on the already depleting water resources in Indus Basin. The absence of supra‐national authority and a basin‐wide cooperation agreement is further exaggerating Basin's challenges. Moreover, an already existing Indus Water Treaty, a bilateral treaty signed between India and Pakistan is proving to be insufficient to regulate the water supply amidst the growing political tensions among the Indus riparian. To address this cross‐boundary issue, armed with game theory‐based strategies, this research proposes optimal water allocation solutions. The study adopted Bankruptcy and Asymmetric Nash bargaining solutions to determine optimal water allocations/Pareto‐optimal solutions. The results show that the optimal allocation for Pakistan and India are 181.95 and 101.95 km 3 respectively, while for Afghanistan and China, the optimal allocation was found to be 2.99 and 0.11 km 3 respectively. The sensitivity analysis reveals that the water allocations of Pakistan and India are sensitive to their respective changes in water claims, while insensitive to the changes in water claim of Afghanistan and China. The findings of the study can be used for negotiations and have the potential to serve as a major tool in bringing stability in the region by allocating the water optimally

Business · China · Indus · Political science · Population · Riparian zone · Sociology · Structural basin · Treaty · Water resource management · Environmental Science · Hydropower, Displacement, Environmental Impact · Law · Transboundary Water Resource Management · Water resources management and optimization · Geology

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