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The War Scare That Wasn't

Able Archer 83 and the Myths of the Second Cold War

Bibliographic Data

ID12746648
AuthorsSimon Mile (0000-0001-7076-2877, Duke University, corresponding author)
Year2020
Volume22
Issue3
Pages86-118
Publication date2020-08-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Cold War Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1520-3972 • E-ISSN: 1531-3298
PublisherThe MIT Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1162/jcws_a_00952
OpenAlexW3049615937
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited11

Did the Cold War of the 1980s nearly turn hot? Much has been made of the November 1983 Able Archer 83 command-post exercise, which is often described as having nearly precipitated a nuclear war when paranoid Warsaw Pact policymakers suspected that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) was using the exercise to launch a preemptive nuclear strike. This article challenges that narrative, using new evidence from the archives of the former Warsaw Pact countries. It shows that the much-touted intelligence effort to assess Western intentions and capabilities, Project RYaN, which supposedly triggered fears of a surprise attack, was nowhere near operational at the time of Able Archer 83. It also presents an account of the Pact's sanguine observations of Able Archer 83. In doing so, it advances key debates in the historiography of the late Cold War pertaining to the stability and durability of the nuclear peace

Alliance · Cold war · Economic history · Historiography · Mythology · North Atlantic Treaty · Nuclear weapon · Pact · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Surprise · Classics · History · Intelligence, Security, War Strategy · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Nuclear Issues and Defense · Psychology · Social Psychology

  • Un ataque con misiles nucleares? El proyecto RYaN y los mitos de la Segunda Guerra Fría

    Open Access•Guillem Colom Piella, Guillem Colom-Piella•Ayer Revista de Historia…•2024

  • AI in the information ecosystem and its impact on nuclear escalation

    Open Access•Herbert Lin•Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists•2026

  • Able Archer

    Open Access•Thomas Fraise, Kjølv Egeland•Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists•2023

  • Deterring Russian Nonstrategic Nuclear Weapons

    Cliff R Parsons•The US Army War College Quarterly…•2023

  • C. Wright Mills, the nuclear weapons crisis cycle, and the continuing relevance of The Causes of World War Three

    Open Access•James G Rice, James Rice•Journal of Classical Sociology•2026

  • Multilateral Maritime Exercises, Grand Strategy, and Strategic Change

    Open Access•Peter Dombrowski, Simon Reich•Journal of Global Security Studies•2024

  • Scolding Intelligence

    Benjamin B Fischer•International Journal of…•2018

  • Fear, Loathing, and Cracks in Reagan’s Mirror Images

    Open Access•Jonathan M Dicicco•Foreign Policy Analysis•2011

  • Explaining the End of the Cold War

    Jeremi Suri•Journal of Cold War Studies•2002

  • How Able Was “Able Archer”

    Vojtech Mastny•Journal of Cold War Studies•2009

  • When truth is stranger than fiction

    Arnav Manchanda•Cold War History•2009

  • The Long Peace

    John Lewis Gaddis•International Security•1986

  • The 1983 Nuclear Crisis – Lessons for Deterrence Theory and Practice

    Dmitry Adamsky, Dmitry Dima Adamsky•Journal of Strategic Studies•2013

  • Soviet approaches to crisis management

    Douglas M Hart•Survival•1984

  • Able Archer 83

    Gordon Barrass, Gordon S Barrass•Survival•2016

  • Nuclear Superiority and the Balance of Resolve

    Open Access•Matthew Kroenig•International Organization•2013

Citations per year2
Citation span2023 - 2026 (4)
Highly citedNo

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