A Two-Way Street on Iraq
On the Interaction of Citizen Policy Preferences and Presidential Approval
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12761908 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Michael A Bailey (0000-0003-1575-2494, Georgetown University, corresponding author), Clyde Wilcox (Georgetown University) |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 44 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 3-27 |
| Publication date | 2015-07-05 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Politics Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1532-673X • E-ISSN: 1552-3373 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1177/1532673x15593341 |
| OpenAlex | W2234867225 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 32 |
To the extent voters respond at all to presidential policy positions, they may do so by changing their views on the policy or by changing their views of the president. Presidents need to account for both changes as they care both about citizen approval and citizen policy views. We explore this dynamic in response to the Iraq War using multiple statistical methods. We find consistent evidence that citizen views of President Bush influenced their support for the war even as citizen views of the war affected their approval of Bush. Net changes in aggregate public opinion were smaller than gross changes because of simultaneous movement in both directions on both the war and the president. Recognizing this two-way movement of opinion helps us to better understand the challenges facing presidents in leading public opinion
Iraq war · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Presidential system · Public opinion · Public relations · Sociology · Spanish Civil War · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence · Public Administration
Counting the public in
The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion
Follow the Leader?
Strategic Information Transmission
Instrumental Variables and GMM
Three Steps toward a Theory of Motivated Political Reasoning
The presidency and the political system
Instrumental and "Quasi-Instrumental" Variables
Assuming the Costs of War
Predispositions and Public Support for the President During the War on Terrorism
Presidential Persuasion on Social Issues
The Short-Term Effect of Going Public
Presidential Identification and Policy Leadership
Public Opinion and Foreign Policy
Foreign Policy and the Electoral Connection
The Means and Ends of Foreign Policy as Determinants of Presidential Support
Changing Sides or Changing Minds? Party Identification and Policy Preferences in the American Electorate
Presidential Source Cues and Policy Appraisals, 1981-2000
What Moves Public Opinion
The Two Faces of Issue Voting
Elite Influence on Public Opinion in an Informed Electorate
The President and the Political Use of Force
Economic and Foreign Policy as Sources of Reagan Support
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |