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Cultural Constraints and Policy Implementation

Effects of the Beijing License Plate Lottery on the Environment

Bibliographic Data

ID12802496
AuthorsAmy H Liu (0000-0001-5380-2849, corresponding author), Edmund J Malesky (0000-0001-5737-9195)
Year2024
Volume19
Issue1
Pages91-126
Publication date2024-01-22
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueQuarterly Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1554-0626 • E-ISSN: 1554-0634
PublisherNow Publishers (PUBLISHER • NL)
DOI10.1561/100.00022015
OpenAlexW4391112407
LanguageEN
References cited45

Can culture constrain policy implementation — and if so, under what conditions and for whom? In this paper, we test to what extent traditional values of numerology in China impeded the environmental benefits of a well-designed license plate policy. We take advantage of two natural experiments in Beijing. First, in 2008 authorities began limiting cars on the road by restricting specific plate numbers each day. Second, in 2011 authorities introduced a lottery policy-making it difficult to obtain any plate. We find that (1) non-traditionalists abandoned cultural norms, accepted non-lucky plate numbers, and switched to newer, greener vehicles, whereas (2) traditionalists — fearing the loss of their lucky plate numbers — held on to their older pollutant-emitting cars. We test our argument using a CO readings dataset, a Beijing driver survey, and a license plate image database. We find strong evidence that emissions were lower when lucky numbers were restricted, and the pattern strengthened gradually over time

Beijing · Business · China · Economics · License · Lottery · Microeconomics · Political science · Gambling Behavior and Treatments · Law

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