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Zero-error’ versus ‘good-enough’

Towards a ‘frugality’ narrative for defence procurement policy

Bibliographic Data

ID12847015
AuthorsKapil Patil (0000-0002-1553-959X, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, corresponding author), Saradindu Bhaduri (0000-0003-0709-6773, Jawaharlal Nehru University)
Year2020
Volume19
Issue1
Pages43-59
Publication date2020-02-27
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueMind & Society (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1593-7879 • E-ISSN: 1860-1839
PublisherSpringer Science+Business Media (PUBLISHER • DE)
DOI10.1007/s11299-020-00223-7
OpenAlexW3008341135
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited39

The procurement decision-making process for complex military product systems (CoPS) has significant implications for military end-users, suppliers, and exchequers. This study examines the usefulness of adopting a fast and frugal decision-making approach for the acquisition of military CoPS. Defence procurement environment is complex. On the one hand, there are uncertainties and severe resource constraints due to regularly changing threat perceptions, limited flow of information about new technologies, and the growing demand to reduce defence related expenses. On the other hand, several stakeholders remain pre-occupied with the demand for ‘zero-error’ technologies. In such a setting, recurrent cost overruns and delays in supply are common in defence procurement programmes, across countries. Taking the illustrative examples of the missile system, fighter jet, and radar system acquisitions in India, we elucidate on ‘optimising’ versus ‘satisficing’ dynamics in the procurement decisions. The paper argues that a fast and frugal decision-making process by relying on judgement, experiential knowledge, and intuitive learning might make procurement processes, adaptively, more efficient. Such an approach would enable a ‘good enough’ technology to be inducted, and improved upon, through regular feedback from the actual environment. The study has implications for policy scholarships on innovation policy instruments under uncertainty

Business · Economics · Industrial organization · Judgement · Operations management · Operations research · Process (computing · Procurement · Risk analysis (engineering · Computer Science · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · Engineering · Innovation and Socioeconomic Development · Law · Public Procurement and Policy · Marketing

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Citations per year1
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Highly citedNo

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