Counterfactuals, superfactuals and the problematic relationship between business management and the past
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12892383 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Giuliano Maielli (Queen Mary University of London, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2007 |
| Volume | 2 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 275-294 |
| Publication date | 2007-11-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Management & Organizational History (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1744-9359 • E-ISSN: 1744-9367 |
| Publisher | Taylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1177/1744935907086115 |
| OpenAlex | W2119348789 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 5 |
| References cited | 17 |
This article analyses counterfactuals and superfactuals as means to develop scenarios, by focusing on the relationship between the design of heuristic tools for decision-making and the analysis of an organization’s past. It therefore addresses the questions whether and to what extent the ex-post analysis of the past can help us to understand the present and take ex-ante strategic decisions. The Fiat case is analysed, by focusing on how the Italian carmaker responded to expected changes in the structure of the Italian and EC car markets from 1970 onwards. A counterfactual will be explored to hypothesize what might have happened, had the Fiat management developed a superfactual on the basis of the company’s evolutionary patterns each time a change in the output mix was planned. Finally, the article puts forward a simple scenario for Fiat’s future
Business · Counterfactual conditional · Counterfactual thinking · Economics · Epistemology · Ex-ante · Heuristic · Macroeconomics · Positive economics · Simple (philosophy · Italy: Economic History and Contemporary Issues · Philosophy · Regional resilience and development · Marketing
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| Unique citing works | 5 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,38 |
| Citation span | 2013 - 2026 (14) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 5 |