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Political Turnover and Chinese Development Cooperation

Bibliographic Data

ID12907382
AuthorsMatthew Dilorenzo (0000-0002-8384-4537, Old Dominion University, corresponding author), Mengfan Cheng (William & Mary)
Year2018
Volume12
Issue1
Pages123-151
Publication date2018-12-15
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Chinese Journal of International Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1750-8916 • E-ISSN: 1750-8924
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1093/cjip/poy020
OpenAlexW2914691428
LanguageEN
Citations received2

Some view recent, high-profile Chinese aid and investment agreements that have followed changes in the leadership of recipient states as evidence of China’s intent to compete for political influence in countries that are traditionally close to the United States and its allies. We examine how patterns of China’s development investment vary with changes of domestic leadership in potential recipient states, and argue that domestic coalition turnover may plausibly create uncertainty as to whether recipient countries will shift political allegiance towards or away from Chinese influence. If China indeed views development finance as a tool to acquire or maintain influence in developing countries, the timing of coalition changes in such countries should coincide with increases in China’s development commitments. We use AidData’s Global Chinese Official Finance Dataset and an extended version of the Change in Source of Leader Support (CHISOLS) Dataset of domestic coalition changes to evaluate the relationship between Chinese finance and leader turnover in non-OECD countries throughout the period 2000–2014. Our analysis provides some statistical evidence that political turnover influences the allocation of more concessional, ODA-like finance from China. We also find evidence that the relationship between domestic coalition changes and Chinese financial flows varies according to the recipient’s alliance status with the United States and regime type

Allegiance · Alliance · China · Development economics · Economics · Foreign direct investment · International economics · International trade · Investment (military · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Economic Growth and Development · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · International Development and Aid

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    Open Access•Matthew Dilorenzo•Foreign Policy Analysis•2026

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    Open Access•Axel Dreher, Andreas Fuchs et al.•Journal of Development Economics•2019

Citations per year0.29
Citation span2019 - 2026 (8)
Highly citedNo

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