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Will Chinese growth slow after the Lewis turning point

Bibliographic Data

ID12918095
AuthorsLigang Song (0000-0002-5700-2352, Australian National University, corresponding author), Yongsheng Zhang (0000-0002-0572-162X, Environmental Development Centre)
Year2010
Volume3
Issue2
Pages209-219
Publication date2010-09-23
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueChina Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1753-8963 • E-ISSN: 1753-8971
PublisherRoutledge (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/17538963.2010.511926
OpenAlexW2053256129
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited19

The paper argues that China's economic growth will not necessarily slow after China reaches the Lewis turning point (LTP) when wages and subsequently costs of production, as a result of the exhaustion of the unlimited supplies of labor from rural areas, are increasing. Reaching the turning point leads to significant structural change signifying that China enters a new phase of development in which those endogenously determined factors such as human capital, innovation, R&D expenditure and technological progress begin to play more important roles than contributions made simply by inputs of physical capital, labor and resources in enhancing economic growth. To achieve the continual growth, certain conditions are needed in the transition toward and beyond the turning point including among others the institutional reform which enables China to further transform itself in order to embrace a new mode of economic growth driven predominantly by efficient, sustainable and equitable considerations

Capital (architecture · China · Development economics · Economic system · Economics · Human capital · Labour economics · Macroeconomics · Market economy · New normal · Order (exchange · Point (geometry · Political science · Production (economics · Technical progress · Technological change · Tipping point (physics · Turning point · Economic Growth and Productivity · Engineering · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Regional Economic and Spatial Analysis

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    Open Access•W Arthur Lewis•Manchester School•1954

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    Peter Howitt•Journal of Political Economy•1999

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    Paul M Romer, Paul Romer•Journal of Political Economy•1986

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Citations per year0.08
Citation span2013 - 2013 (1)
Highly citedNo

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