When will a changing climate outpace adaptive evolution
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12929288 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Ryan A Martin (0000-0002-7448-5907, Case Western Reserve University, corresponding author), Carmen R B da Silva (0000-0003-0160-5872, Flinders University), Michael P Moore (0000-0002-8255-4247, University of Colorado Denver), Sarah E Diamond (0000-0001-8518-773X, Case Western Reserve University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2023 |
| Volume | 14 |
| Issue | 6 |
| Publication date | 2023-06-28 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1757-7780 • E-ISSN: 1757-7799 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1002/wcc.852 |
| OpenAlex | W4382726526 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 1 |
| References cited | 186 |
Decades of research have illuminated the underlying ingredients that determine the scope of evolutionary responses to climate change. The field of evolutionary biology therefore stands ready to take what it has learned about influences upon the rate of adaptive evolution—such as population demography, generation time, and standing genetic variation—and apply it to assess if and how populations can evolve fast enough to “keep pace” with climate change. Here, our review highlights what the field of evolutionary biology can contribute and what it still needs to learn to provide more mechanistic predictions of the winners and losers of climate change. We begin by developing broad predictions for contemporary evolution to climate change based on theory. We then discuss methods for assessing climate‐driven contemporary evolution, including quantitative genetic studies, experimental evolution, and space‐for‐time substitutions. After providing this mechanism‐focused overview of both the evidence for evolutionary responses to climate change and more specifically, evolving to keep pace with climate change, we next consider the factors that limit actual evolutionary responses. In this context, we consider the dual role of phenotypic plasticity in facilitating but also impeding evolutionary change. Finally, we detail how a deeper consideration of evolutionary constraints can improve forecasts of responses to climate change and therefore also inform conservation and management decisions. This article is categorized under: Climate, Ecology, and Conservation > Observed Ecological Changes Climate, Ecology, and Conservation > Extinction Risk Assessing Impacts of Climate Change > Evaluating Future Impacts of Climate Change
Biology · Climate change · Context (archaeology · Economics · Environmental resource management · Evolutionary ecology · Extinction (optical mineralogy · Geography · Pace · Phenotypic plasticity · Population · Sociology · Animal Behavior and Reproduction · Demography · Physiological and biochemical adaptations · Species Distribution and Climate Change · Ecology
Ecological and Evolutionary Responses to Recent Climate Change
Adaptive versus non‐adaptive phenotypic plasticity and the potential for contemporary adaptation in new environments
Rapid, but limited, zooplankton adaptation to simultaneous warming and acidification
Climate change vulnerability assessment of species
| Unique citing works | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1 |
| Citation span | 2026 - 2026 (1) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 1 |