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Forest productivity under climate change

A checklist for evaluating model studies

Bibliographic Data

ID12929335
AuthorsBelinda E Medlyn (0000-0001-5728-9827, Macquarie University, corresponding author), Remko A Duursma (0000-0002-8499-5580, Western Sydney University), Melanie Zeppel (0000-0002-5510-0936, Macquarie University)
Year2011
Volume2
Issue3
Pages332-355
Publication date2011-03-07
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1757-7780 • E-ISSN: 1757-7799
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1002/wcc.108
OpenAlexW1973411758
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited173

Climate change is highly likely to impact on forest productivity over the next century. The direction and magnitude of change are uncertain because many factors are changing simultaneously, such as atmospheric composition, temperature, rainfall, and land use. Simulation models have been widely used to estimate how these interacting factors might combine to alter forest productivity. Such studies have used many different types of models with different underlying assumptions. To evaluate predictions made by such studies, it is essential to understand the type of model and the assumptions used. In this article, we provide a checklist for use when evaluating modeled estimates of climate change impacts on forest productivity. The checklist highlights the assumptions that we believe are critical in determining model outcomes. Models are classified into different general types, and assumptions relating to effects of atmospheric CO 2 concentration, temperature, water availability, nutrient cycling, and disturbance are discussed. Our main aim is to provide a guide to enable correct interpretation of model projections. The article also challenges modelers to improve the quality of information provided about their model assumptions. WIREs Clim Change 2011 2 332–355 DOI: 10.1002/wcc.108 This article is categorized under: Assessing Impacts of Climate Change > Evaluating Future Impacts of Climate Change

Checklist · Climate change · Disturbance (geology · Economics · Environmental resource management · Productivity · Environmental Science · Forest ecology and management · Plant responses to elevated CO2 · Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics · Ecology

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Citations per year0.5
Citation span2016 - 2026 (11)
Highly citedNo

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