Adapting global shared socio-economic pathways for national scenarios in Japan
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12949860 |
|---|---|
| Authors | He Chen (0000-0001-7137-5596, National Institute for Environmental Studies, corresponding author), Keisuke Matsuhashi (0000-0002-9683-7563, National Institute for Environmental Studies), Kiyoshi Takahashi (0000-0002-0163-545X, National Institute for Environmental Studies), Shinichiro Fujimori (0000-0001-7897-1796, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis), K Honjo (0000-0002-0597-7051, Center for Environmental Science in Saitama), Kei Gomi (0000-0001-5081-4705, National Institute for Environmental Studies) |
| Year | 2020 |
| Volume | 15 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 985-1000 |
| Publication date | 2020-01-22 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Sustainability Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1862-4057 • E-ISSN: 1862-4065 |
| Publisher | Springer Science+Business Media (PUBLISHER • DE) |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11625-019-00780-y |
| OpenAlex | W3002364035 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 11 |
| References cited | 33 |
Shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) are alternative global development scenarios focused on the mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. However, global SSPs would need revised versions for regional or local assessment, which is the so-called extended version, because global narratives may lack region-specific important drivers, national policy perspectives, and unification of data for each nation. Thus, it is necessary to construct scenarios that can be used for governments in response to the SSPs to reflect national and sub-national unique situations. This study presents national SSP scenarios, specifically focusing on Japan (hereafter, Japan SSPs), as well as a process for developing scenarios that qualitatively links to global SSPs. We document the descriptions of drivers and basic narratives of Japan SSPs coherent with global SSPs, based on workshops conducted by local researchers and governments. Moreover, we provide a common data set of population and GDP using the national scale. Japan SSPs emphasized population trends different from global SSPs and influencing factors, citizen participation, industrial development resulting from economic change, distribution, and inequality of sub-national population, among others. We selected data sets from existing population projections that have been widely used by Japanese researchers; the data show that the population and GDP of Japan SSPs are expected to be about 20–25% less than global SSPs by 2100
Adaptation (eye · Cartography · Climate change · Construct (python library · Distribution (mathematics · Economic growth · Economics · Environmental resource management · Geography · Political science · Population · Regional science · Scale (ratio · Sociology · Sustainable development · Computer Science · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Land Use and Ecosystem Services · Mathematics · Urban Transport and Accessibility · Ecology
Nationwide evaluation of changes in fluvial and pluvial flood damage and the effectiveness of adaptation measures in Japan under population decline
European scenarios for future biological invasions
Shared socioeconomic pathways in Brazil
The impact of income-driven changes in global consumption patterns on Kyoto Gas emissions during the twenty-first century
Rural outmigration in Northeast Brazil
Grounding global environmental assessments through bottom-up futures based on local practices and perspectives
Estimating the impact of acclimatization on heat-related illnesses under various representative concentration pathways among three Japanese cities in 2030s and 2050s
Does Human Depopulation Reduce Resource Consumption? Evidence from Anthropocene Japan
Assessing resilience, equity, and sustainability of future visions across two urban scales
Modeling desirable futures at local scale by combining the nature futures framework and multi-objective optimization
Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) to support local adaptation planning—A climate service for Flensburg, Germany
The representative concentration pathways
A new scenario framework for climate change research
Biodiversity and ecosystem services require Ipbes to take novel approach to scenarios
The SSP4
The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways
The need for and use of socio-economic scenarios for climate change analysis
Towards extended shared socioeconomic pathways
Ssp3
The marker quantification of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2
The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications
Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for sub-national impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability studies
Global urbanization projections for the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways
Fossil-fueled development (SSP5)
Income projections for climate change research
Future growth patterns of world regions – A GDP scenario approach
The roads ahead
Long-term economic growth projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Advancing the use of scenarios to understand society’s capacity to achieve the 1.5 degree target
Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm
Linking regional stakeholder scenarios and shared socioeconomic pathways
Ensemble flood risk assessment in Europe under high end climate scenarios
| Unique citing works | 11 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,2 |
| Citation span | 2021 - 2026 (6) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 11 |