Potential side effects of climate change mitigation on poverty and countermeasures
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12949872 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Shinichiro Fujimori (0000-0001-7897-1796, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, corresponding author), Tomoko Hasegawa (0000-0003-2456-5789, Ritsumeikan University), Ken Oshiro (0000-0001-6720-409X, Kyoto University), Shiya Zhao (0000-0003-4216-3388, Kyoto University), Katsuya Sasaki (Kyoto University), Jun’ya Takakura (0000-0002-6184-8422, National Institute for Environmental Studies), Kiyoshi Takahashi (0000-0002-0163-545X, National Institute for Environmental Studies) |
| Year | 2023 |
| Volume | 18 |
| Issue | 5 |
| Pages | 2245-2257 |
| Publication date | 2023-07-07 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Sustainability Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1862-4057 • E-ISSN: 1862-4065 |
| Publisher | Springer Science+Business Media (PUBLISHER • DE) |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11625-023-01369-2 |
| OpenAlex | W4383552150 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 4 |
| References cited | 42 |
Many countries have set ambitious long-term emissions reduction targets for reaching the goal in alignment with the Paris Agreement. However, large-scale emission reduction efforts may influence poverty by various economic channels. Here, we show the extent to which climate change mitigation, excluding climate change impacts, has the potential to increase poverty, and have identified its factors such as income, price changes, and direct and indirect carbon pricing impacts. We found that the global poverty headcount could increase by 69 million (19%) in 2030 relative to the baseline for climate change mitigation with global uniform carbon prices. Moreover, our decomposition analysis revealed that both price and income change effects were major factors that could increase the poverty headcount, which are 55% and 40%, respectively. This adverse side effect could be mitigated by various measures, such as emission regulations and an enhancement of energy efficiency standards beyond the typical simple carbon tax. Our results imply that global climate change mitigation policy should place more attention on economic development in poor countries
Carbon tax · Climate change · Climate change mitigation · Economic growth · Economics · Global warming · Greenhouse gas · Natural resource economics · Poverty · Poverty reduction · Sustainability · Sustainable development · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Energy and Environment Impacts · Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies · Environmental Science · Ecology
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| Citations per year | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2024 - 2026 (3) |
| Highly cited | No |