Testing the Power Transition Theory with Relative Military Power
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12980957 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Charles J Koch (United States Army, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 14 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 86-111 |
| Publication date | 2021-09-07 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Strategic Security (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1944-0464 • E-ISSN: 1944-0472 |
| Publisher | University of South Florida Libraries (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.5038/1944-0472.14.3.1884 |
| OpenAlex | W3197440360 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 9 |
This article tests the power transition theory using relative military power within a dyad pair. The author hypothesizes that when a dyad pair achieves relative military power parity, the two states are likely to initiate war. Furthermore, when a dyad pair no longer maintains relative military power parity, the probability of war between the two states decreases. Although the sample population used to test this hypothesis is small (n=3), the mixed-method analysis indicates support to the power transition theory. Furthermore, results are more substantial when using military expenditure and surplus domestic when compared to results using military personnel and surplus domestic product. No statistically significant difference exists (p=.99) when comparing military expenditure and surplus domestic product with a combination of military expenditure, military personnel, and surplus domestic product. These results indicate that relative military power possesses the potential to provide researchers an additional quantitative measure to test the power transition theory. Although these initial results are promising, further research is required to test a larger sample population of dyads
Demographic economics · Dyad · Econometrics · Economics · Monetary economics · Parity (physics · Physics · Population · Power (physics · Purchasing power parity · Sample (material · Sociology · Thermodynamics · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · Demography · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology
Measuring National Power
Overwhelming Preponderance as a Pacifying Condition Among Contiguous Asian Dyads, 1950–1969
Power Transitions as a Cause of War
Tau-b or Not Tau-b
Power Differentials and War in Rival Dyads
Bread Before Guns or Butter
Dangerous Liaisons
War and Rivalry among Great Powers
War and the Cycle of Relative Power
| Unique citing works | 2 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2 |
| Citation span | 2025 - 2025 (1) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 2 |