Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Risky Business

Foreign Direct Investment and the Economic Consequences of Electoral Violence

Bibliographic Data

ID13020439
AuthorsAustin C Doctor (0000-0003-1397-0092, Eastern Kentucky University, corresponding author), Stephen Bagwell (0000-0002-1431-9114, University of Missouri–St. Louis)
Year2019
Volume5
Issue2
Pages339-360
Publication date2019-12-17
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Global Security Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2057-3189 • E-ISSN: 2057-3189
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1093/jogss/ogz070
OpenAlexW3009888417
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited62

While the social and political consequences of electoral violence are widely discussed in the literature, less is known about the economic repercussions of electoral violence. Our study investigates this dynamic, asking how episodes of electoral violence affect existing levels of foreign direct investment. We argue that, when managing their investments in foreign markets, multinational firms weigh the expected gains of the investment with the probability that the host country experiences significant lapses in political stability. Electoral violence signals a greater risk of this undesirable outcome and, thus, increases the probability that firms divest in favor of more favorable investment environments. Using firm-level data, we investigate the investment behavior of seventy-seven multinational firms in twenty-five Sub-Saharan African countries from 1995 to 2008 with a series of logistic regression models. Directly modeling the choices that firms make with respect to yearly changes in investment, we demonstrate that firms are more likely to divest following events of electoral violence in a host country. This study carries important implications for our understanding of how electoral violence may undermine the economic stability of emerging economies

Affect (linguistics · Business · Demographic economics · Divestment · Economics · Foreign direct investment · Investment (military · Macroeconomics · Multinational corporation · Political science · Politics · Corporate Finance and Governance · Economic Growth and Development · International Business and FDI · Finance

  • It’s Us against Them”

    Open Access•Ernest Mensah Akuamoah•Journal of Global Security Studies•2026

  • Making and maintaining corporate empires

    Colin M Barry•Review of International Political…•2024

  • When armed groups refuse to carry out election violence

    Open Access•Megan Turnbull•World Development•2021

  • Nation-States and the Multinational Corporation

    Nathan M Jensen•Nation-States and the Multinational…•2008

  • The institutional environment for multinational investment

    Witold J Henisz, W Henisz•The Journal of Law Economics and…•2000

  • Alternative Transformations to Handle Extreme Values of the Dependent Variable

    John Burbidge, John B Burbidge et al.•Journal of the American…•1988

  • Political risk, institutions and foreign direct investment

    Open Access•Matthias Busse, Carsten Hefeker•European Journal of Political…•2007

  • Veto Players

    George Tsebelis•Veto Players•2002

  • Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance

    Open Access•Douglass C North•Institutions, Institutional…•1990

  • Electoral Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Stephanie M Burchard•Electoral Violence in Sub-Saharan…•2015

  • Competitive Authoritarianism

    Open Access•Steven Levitsky, Lucan A Way•Competitive Authoritarianism…•2001

  • Collateral Damage

    Reuven Glick, Alastair M Taylor et al.•The Review of Economics and…•2010

  • Peace and conflict at different stages of the FDI lifecycle

    Colin M Barry•Review of International Political…•2018

  • Civil war termination and foreign direct investment, 1989–2012

    Open Access•Madhav Joshi, Jason Michael Quinn et al.•Conflict Management and Peace…•2018

  • Do bilateral investment treaties increase foreign direct investment to developing countries

    Open Access•E Neumayer, Laura Spess•World Development•2005

  • Social Conflict in Africa

    Idean Salehyan, Cullen S Hendrix et al.•International Interactions•2012

  • Political Investment Cycles in Democracies and Autocracies

    Daehee Bak•International Interactions•2016

  • Investors, turbulence, and transition

    Adam L Resnick•International Interactions•2001

  • Bringing the Company Back In

    Colin M Barry•International Interactions•2015

  • Foreign Investment as a Dependent Variable

    Edward M Crenshaw, Edward Crenshaw•Social Forces•1991

  • The Impact of Transnational Terrorism on U.S. Foreign Direct Investment

    Open Access•Walter Enders, Adolfo Sachsida et al.•Political Research Quarterly•2006

  • Political Risk, Democratic Institutions, and Foreign Direct Investment

    Nele Jensen, Nathan M Jensen et al.•The Journal of Politics•2008

  • What Attracts Foreign Investors? An Examination of Human Rights and Foreign Direct Investment

    Shannon Lindsey Blanton, Robert G Blanton•The Journal of Politics•2007

  • Democracy, Autocracy, and Tax Incentives to Foreign Direct Investors

    Quan Li•The Journal of Politics•2006

  • Elections in Hybrid Regimes

    Open Access•Lee Morgenbesser•Political Studies•2014

  • Transparency, Risk, and FDI

    Open Access•Colin M Barry, Matthew Digiuseppe•Political Research Quarterly•2019

  • A Violent Future? Political Risk Insurance Markets and Violence Forecasts

    Open Access•Nathan M Jensen, Daniel J Young•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2008

  • Avoiding the Spotlight

    Open Access•Colin M Barry, K Chad Clay et al.•International Studies Quarterly•2013

  • Political Freedom, Political Instability, and Policy Uncertainty

    Yi Feng•International Studies Quarterly•2001

  • What We Talk About When We Talk About Foreign Direct Investment

    Open Access•Andrew Kerner•International Studies Quarterly•2014

  • Democratic Governance and Multinational Corporations

    Open Access•Nathan M Jensen•International Organization•2003

  • Reversal of Fortunes

    Open Access•Quan Li, Adam Resnick et al.•International Organization•2003

  • Elections and Ethnic Civil War

    Open Access•Lars-Erik Cederman, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch et al.•Comparative Political Studies•2013

  • The Politics of Foreign Direct Investment into Developing Countries

    Open Access•Tim Büthe, Helen V Milner•American Journal of Political…•2008

  • Surviving Elections

    Open Access•Emilie M Hafner-Burton, Emilie M Hafner‐burton et al.•British Journal of Political…•2018

  • Electoral Institutions and Electoral Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa

    Open Access•Hanne Fjelde, Kristine Höglund•British Journal of Political…•2016

  • Violence and Democracy

    Paul Staniland•Comparative Politics•2014

  • The failure of democratisation by elections in Cambodia

    Lee Morgenbesser•Contemporary Politics•2017

  • Democracy, foreign direct investment and natural resources

    Open Access•Elizabeth Asiedu, Duncan Lien et al.•Journal of International Economics•2010

  • Timing and targeting of state repression in authoritarian elections

    Tavishi Bhasin, Jill Gandhi et al.•Electoral Studies•2013

  • Vote buying and violence in Nigerian election campaigns

    Open Access•Michael Bratton•Electoral Studies•2008

  • All quiet on election day? International election observation and incentives for pre-election violence in African elections

    Open Access•Ursula Daxecker•Electoral Studies•2014

  • Electoral Violence in Conflict-Ridden Societies

    Kristine Höglund•Terrorism and Political Violence•2009

  • Organized violence, 1989-2018 and peace agreements

    Open Access•Tove Pettersson, Stina Högbladh et al.•Journal of Peace Research•2019

  • The Contradictions of Pre-election Violence

    Open Access•Dorina A Bekoe, Stephanie M Burchard•African Studies Review•2017

Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,6
Citation span2021 - 2026 (6)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae