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What happens after electrification? Exploring the evolution of appliance adoption in rural Kenya

Bibliographic Data

ID13066025
AuthorsLeticia Tomas Fillol (0000-0003-1713-3734, Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology, corresponding author), Antti Pinomaa (0000-0001-7620-1114, Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology), Nicolò Stevanato (0000-0002-3419-0389, Politecnico di Milano), Riccardo Mereu (0000-0003-0544-595X, Politecnico di Milano), Samuli Honkapuro (0000-0001-8761-474X, Lappeenranta-Lahti University of Technology)
Year2025
Volume122
Pages104015-104015
Publication date2025-03-12
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnergy Research & Social Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2214-6296 • E-ISSN: 2214-6326
PublisherElsevier BV (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1016/j.erss.2025.104015
OpenAlexW4408351461
LanguageEN
References cited28

Design and dimensioning of off-grid power systems require a deep understanding of how electricity demand develops over time. However, a notable knowledge gap exists regarding how electricity loads evolve, particularly in remote areas of developing countries. This paper presents a granular analysis of appliance uptake through a case study in rural Kenya, and aims to provide real-world evidence to enhance demand forecasting in similar contexts. The study focuses on a mini-grid project and evaluates the evolution of appliance ownership during the early years following electrification. It examines differences between households with home businesses and standard households, i.e., those without income-generation activities at home, complemented by an exploration of the role of microfinance. The analysis is based on household-level survey data collected from the field. The findings highlight that establishing home businesses, access to microfinancing, and the prior presence of power systems are key drivers of faster appliance adoption. However, appliance adoption is gradual but slow, with many households owning only basic appliances even several years after gaining access to electricity. Households engaged in income-generating activities and utilizing microfinance are more likely to acquire welfare appliances at an earlier stage

Economic growth · Economics · Electrical engineering · Electricity · Electrification · Geography · Natural resource economics · Rural electrification · Socioeconomics · Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure · Energy and Environment Impacts · Engineering · Innovation and Socioeconomic Development

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