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Public Debt and Economic Growth in India

The New Evidence

Bibliographic Data

ID13083289
AuthorsBhanu Pratap Singh (0000-0002-1757-9763, Economics Section, Mahila Mahavidyalaya, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh, India, corresponding author), Sujit Kumar (0000-0003-2875-0586, Banaras Hindu University)
Year2022
Volume15
Issue3
Pages429-446
Publication date2022-12-19
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueMillennial Asia (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2321-7081 • E-ISSN: 0976-3996
PublisherSAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/09763996221136908
OpenAlexW4313404124
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited38

The study gives new evidence on the effects of public debt on economic growth in India with key macroeconomic indicators from 1980 to 2019. In the past decade, and after the COVID-19 pandemic, there is a substantial rise in public debt, which reached 90% of the GDP in April 2021. Therefore, it is imperative to study the impact of different public debt sources on the Indian economy to help policymakers frame informed debt management policies. The long-run equilibrium relationship and cointegrating coefficients are calculated using Johansen cointegration and fully modified ordinary least square techniques. Toda and Yamamoto’s (1995) Granger causality test is used as a short-run diagnostic test for the long-run equilibrium relationship. The study’s major findings suggest that domestic debt, total factor productivity (TFP) and exports are the major determinants of economic development in the long run. In contrast, economic prosperity determines the growth of external debt, debt service payments and TFP in the short run. It is recommended that the government should control and channel public debt productively for favourable growth effects

Cointegration · Debt · Debt levels and flows · Debt service coverage ratio · Debt-to-GDP ratio · Econometrics · Economics · Error correction model · External debt · Granger causality · Internal debt · Johansen test · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Productivity · Short run · Total factor productivity · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works2
Citations per year0,67
Citation span2023 - 2023 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2

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