Inference and Explanation
Assessing the Likelihood of Conjunctive Events
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 13655343 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Joanna L Y Ho (0000-0003-1306-2561, University of California, Irvine, corresponding author), JOANNA L HO (Graduate School of Management, University of California, Irvine), Urton Anderson (The University of Texas at Austin), Garry Marchant (The University of Texas at Austin) |
| Year | 1990 |
| Volume | 67 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 659-668 |
| Publication date | 1990-10-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Psychological Reports (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0033-2941 • E-ISSN: 1558-691X |
| Publisher | SAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.2466/pr0.1990.67.2.659 |
| OpenAlex | W2086061933 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 13 |
This study examined the effect of increasing the salience of alternatives in the use of inference and explanation sets when evaluating the likelihood of conjunctive events. Response mode (ranking or rating of events) was used to manipulate the salience of alternatives in a professional judgment context using a standard conjunction task. Participants were 196 experienced professionals and 192 undergraduate students. There was a significant interaction for attribution set x response mode. The different in conjunction effects between an inference and an explanation set was not observed when subjects were asked to rank events rather than to rate their likelihood. This finding provides evidence that a model of causal reasoning should include evaluating the strength of alternatives as well as the necessity and sufficiency of a possible cause
Attribution · Cognitive psychology · Conjunction (astronomy · Context (archaeology · Inference · Ranking (information retrieval · Salience (neuroscience · Set (abstract data type · Task (project management · Advanced Text Analysis Techniques · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Forecasting Techniques and Applications · Psychology · Social Psychology
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |