Multiple- versus Single-Index Predictors of Dangerousness, Suicide, and other Rare Behaviors
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 13669279 |
|---|---|
| Authors | James M Vanderplas (Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri, corresponding author), Jean H Vanderplas (Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri) |
| Year | 1979 |
| Volume | 45 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 343-349 |
| Publication date | 1979-10-01 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Psychological Reports (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0033-2941 • E-ISSN: 1558-691X |
| Publisher | SAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.2466/pr0.1979.45.2.343 |
| PMID | 538162 |
| OpenAlex | W2030219624 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 9 |
The principle that prediction of low base-rate events based on test signs may be grossly in error in the direction of overprediction is argued to be limited to situations where single-index predictors are used. An example is presented of a three-variable Boolean function which accurately distinguishes 70% of true positive instances and 100% of true negative instances in a situation where the base rate of the predicted event is 100 per 100,000
Base (topology · Event (particle physics · Function (biology · Index (typography · Injury prevention · Medical emergency · Poison control · Statistics · Suicide rates · Cognitive Science and Education Research · Computer Science · Mathematics · Medicine · Mental Health Research Topics · Psychology · Social Psychology
| Citations per year | 0.04 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 1979 - 1992 (14) |
| Highly cited | No |