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Mathematical and statistical models for the control of mosquito-borne diseases

The experience of Costa Rica

Bibliographic Data

ID14968684
AuthorsPaola Vásquez (0000-0002-7585-2174, [email protected], corresponding author), Fabio Sánchez (0000-0002-0042-9830, Universidad de Costa Rica, San José, Costa Rica), Luis A Barboza (0000-0002-7009-5207, Universidad de Costa Rica, San José, Costa Rica), Yury E García (0000-0003-1990-9110, University of California Davis, Davis, California, United States of America), Juan G Calvo (0000-0001-9948-9966, Universidad de Costa Rica, San José, Costa Rica), Shu-Wei Chou-Chen (Universidad de Costa Rica, San José, Costa Rica), Shu Wei Chou-Chen (0000-0001-5495-2486, Universidad de Costa Rica), Gustavo Mery (0000-0002-3629-7470, Pan American Health Organization, San José, Costa Rica)
Year2022
Volume46
Pages1
Publication date2022-08-30
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueRevista Panamericana de Salud Pública (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1020-4989 • E-ISSN: 1680-5348
PublisherPan American Health Organization (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.26633/rpsp.2022.113
PMID36060201
OpenAlexW4293579600
LanguageEN
References cited8

Objective. To summarize the results of research conducted in Costa Rica in which mathematical and statistical methods were implemented to study the transmission dynamics of mosquito-borne diseases. Methods. Three articles with mathematical and statistical analysis on vector-borne diseases in Costa Rica were selected and reviewed. These papers show the value and relevance of using different quantitative methods to understand disease dynamics and support decision-making. Results. The results of these investigations: 1) show the impact on dengue case reports when a second pathogen emerges, such as chikungunya; 2) recover key parameters in Zika dynamics using Bayesian inference; and 3) show the use of machine learning algorithms and climatic variables to forecast the dengue relative risk in five different locations. Conclusions. Mathematical and statistical modeling enables the description of mosquito-borne disease transmission dynamics, providing quantitative information to support prevention/control methods and resource allocation planning

Bayesian inference · Bayesian probability · Biology · Chikungunya · Dengue fever · Geography · Inference · Machine learning · Operations research · Relevance (law · Resource (disambiguation · Statistical analysis · Statistical inference · Statistical model · Statistics · Telecommunications · Transmission (telecommunications · Computer Science · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Mathematics · Mosquito-borne diseases and control · Zoonotic diseases and public health · Artificial Intelligence · Virology

Highly citedNo

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