Mean Temperature and Drought Projections in Central Africa

A Population-Based Study of Food Insecurity, Childhood Malnutrition and Mortality, and Infectious Disease

Bibliographic Data

ID15466593
AuthorsMunum Hassan (University of Health Sciences Lahore), Kinza Saif (University of Wah), Muhammad Saad Ijaz (Rawalpindi Medical University), Zouina Sarfraz (0000-0002-5132-7455, Fatima Jinnah Medical University, corresponding author), Azza Sarfraz (0000-0001-8206-5745, Aga Khan University), Karla Robles‐Velasco (0000-0001-7780-1015, Universidad de Especialidades Espíritu Santo), Iván Chérrez-Ojeda (0000-0002-1610-239X, Universidad de Especialidades Espíritu Santo, corresponding author)
Year2023
Volume20
Issue3
Pages2697-2697
Publication date2023-02-02
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601
PublisherMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3390/ijerph20032697
PMID36768062
OpenAlexW4319159609
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited60

The Central African Region is an agricultural and fishing-based economy, with 40% of the population living in rural communities. The negative impacts of climate change have caused economic/health-related adverse impacts and food insecurity. This original article aims to research four key themes: (i) acute food insecurity (AFI); (ii) childhood malnutrition and mortality; (iii) infectious disease burden; and (iv) drought and mean temperature projections throughout the twenty-first century. Food insecurity was mapped in Central Africa based on the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) for AFI. The global hunger index (GHI) was presented along with the proportion of children with undernourishment, stunting, wasting, and mortality. Data for infectious disease burden was computed by assessing the adjusted rate of change (AROC) of mortality due to diarrhea among children and the burden of death rates due to pneumonia across all age groups. Finally, the mean drought index was computed through the year 2100. This population-based study identifies high levels of hunger across a majority of the countries, with the mean drought index suggesting extreme ends of wet and dry days and an overall rise of 1-3 °C. This study is a source of evidence for stakeholders, policymakers, and the population residing in Central Africa

Agriculture · Biology · Climate change · Economics · Environmental health · Food insecurity · Food prices · Food security · Geography · Malnutrition · Mortality rate · Population · Socioeconomics · Wasting · Agricultural risk and resilience · Climate change impacts on agriculture · Demography · Food Security and Health in Diverse Populations · Medicine · Ecology