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Bring More Data!—A Good Advice? Removing Separation in Logistic Regression by Increasing Sample Size

Bibliographic Data

ID15474381
AuthorsHana Šinkovec (0000-0001-9508-8364, Statistics Austria), Angelika Geroldinger (0000-0002-4659-4911, Statistics Austria), Georg Heinze (0000-0003-1147-8491, Statistics Austria, corresponding author)
Year2019
Volume16
Issue23
Pages4658-4658
Publication date2019-11-22
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601
PublisherMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3390/ijerph16234658
PMID31766753
OpenAlexW2981457566
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited3

The parameters of logistic regression models are usually obtained by the method of maximum likelihood (ML). However, in analyses of small data sets or data sets with unbalanced outcomes or exposures, ML parameter estimates may not exist. This situation has been termed 'separation' as the two outcome groups are separated by the values of a covariate or a linear combination of covariates. To overcome the problem of non-existing ML parameter estimates, applying Firth's correction (FC) was proposed. In practice, however, a principal investigator might be advised to 'bring more data' in order to solve a separation issue. We illustrate the problem by means of examples from colorectal cancer screening and ornithology. It is unclear if such an increasing sample size (ISS) strategy that keeps sampling new observations until separation is removed improves estimation compared to applying FC to the original data set. We performed an extensive simulation study where the main focus was to estimate the cost-adjusted relative efficiency of ML combined with ISS compared to FC. FC yielded reasonably small root mean squared errors and proved to be the more efficient estimator. Given our findings, we propose not to adapt the sample size when separation is encountered but to use FC as the default method of analysis whenever the number of observations or outcome events is critically low

Covariate · Data set · Econometrics · Estimator · Filter (signal processing · Firth · Logistic regression · Regression · Sample (material · Sample size determination · Sampling (signal processing · Separation (statistics · Set (abstract data type · Statistics · Computer Science · Hydrology and Drought Analysis · Mathematics · Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference · Statistical Methods in Epidemiology

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  • Bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates

    David Firth•Biometrika•1993

  • A weakly informative default prior distribution for logistic and other regression models

    Andrew Gelman, Aleks Jakulin et al.•The Annals of Applied Statistics•2008

  • A solution to the problem of separation in logistic regression

    Open Access•Georg Heinze, M Schemper•Statistics in Medicine•2002

Citations per year0.2
Citation span2021 - 2021 (1)
Highly citedNo

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