Association between Ambient Temperature and Severe Diarrhoea in the National Capital Region, Philippines
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15500012 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Paul Lester Chua (0000-0001-7778-0189, Nagasaki University, corresponding author), Paul L C Chua (Nagasaki University), Chris Fook Sheng Ng (0000-0003-1025-0807, Nagasaki University), Adovich S Rivera (0000-0003-2533-0818, Northwestern University), Eumelia P Salva (0000-0002-3001-3369, San Lazaro Hospital, Quiricada St., Santa Cruz, Manila 1003, Philippines), Miguel Antonio Salazar (0000-0003-1129-6508, Heidelberg University), Veronika Huber (0000-0001-9633-2752, Universidad Pablo de Olavide), Masahiro Hashizume (0000-0003-4720-1750, Nagasaki University) |
| Year | 2021 |
| Volume | 18 |
| Issue | 15 |
| Pages | 8191-8191 |
| Publication date | 2021-08-02 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601 |
| Publisher | Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH) |
| DOI | 10.3390/ijerph18158191 |
| PMID | 34360484 |
| OpenAlex | W3191997266 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 2 |
| References cited | 38 |
Epidemiological studies have quantified the association between ambient temperature and diarrhoea. However, to our knowledge, no study has quantified the temperature association for severe diarrhoea cases. In this study, we quantified the association between mean temperature and two severe diarrhoea outcomes, which were mortality and hospital admissions accompanied with dehydration and/or co-morbidities. Using a 12-year dataset of three urban districts of the National Capital Region, Philippines, we modelled the non-linear association between weekly temperatures and weekly severe diarrhoea cases using a two-stage time series analysis. We computed the relative risks at the 95th (30.4 °C) and 5th percentiles (25.8 °C) of temperatures using minimum risk temperatures (MRTs) as the reference to quantify the association with high- and low-temperatures, respectively. The shapes of the cumulative associations were generally J-shaped with greater associations towards high temperatures. Mortality risks were found to increase by 53.3% [95% confidence interval (CI): 29.4%; 81.7%)] at 95th percentile of weekly mean temperatures compared with the MRT (28.2 °C). Similarly, the risk of hospitalised severe diarrhoea increased by 27.1% (95% CI: 0.7%; 60.4%) at 95th percentile in mean weekly temperatures compared with the MRT (28.6 °C). With the increased risk of severe diarrhoea cases under high ambient temperature, there may be a need to strengthen primary healthcare services and sustain the improvements made in water, sanitation, and hygiene, particularly in poor communities
Confidence interval · Environmental health · Hygiene · National capital · Percentile · Relative risk · Sanitation · Statistics · Climate Change and Health Impacts · Demography · Global Health Care Issues · Medicine · Thermoregulation and physiological responses · Epidemiology · Internal Medicine
Burden and aetiology of diarrhoeal disease in infants and young children in developing countries (the Global Enteric Multicenter Study, Gems)
Distributed Lag Linear and Non-Linear Models in R
Heat Stress and Public Health
Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature
Estimates of the global, regional, and national morbidity, mortality, and aetiologies of diarrhoea in 195 countries
Water, hydration, and health
Multivariate meta‐analysis for non‐linear and other multi‐parameter associations
Untangling the Impacts of Climate Change on Waterborne Diseases
Global surface air temperatures in CMIP6
Years of temperature-related excess mortality in the Netherlands
| Citations per year | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citation span | 2024 - 2026 (3) |
| Highly cited | No |