Water Pollution Prediction in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area and Countermeasures for Sustainable Development of the Water Environment
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15501922 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Yinghui Li (0000-0002-9023-9466, Chongqing Technology and Business University, corresponding author), Shuaijin Huang (Chongqing Technology and Business University), Xuexin Qu (Chongqing Technology and Business University) |
| Year | 2017 |
| Volume | 14 |
| Issue | 11 |
| Pages | 1307-1307 |
| Publication date | 2017-10-27 |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601 |
| Publisher | Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH) |
| DOI | 10.3390/ijerph14111307 |
| PMID | 29077006 |
| OpenAlex | W2766843616 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 21 |
The Three Gorges Project was implemented in 1994 to promote sustainable water resource use and development of the water environment in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area (hereafter "Reservoir Area"). However, massive discharge of wastewater along the river threatens these goals; therefore, this study employs a grey prediction model (GM) to predict the annual emissions of primary pollution sources, including industrial wastewater, domestic wastewater, and oily and domestic wastewater from ships, that influence the Three Gorges Reservoir Area water environment. First, we optimize the initial values of a traditional GM (1,1) model, and build a new GM (1,1) model that minimizes the sum of squares of the relative simulation errors. Second, we use the new GM (1,1) model to simulate historical annual emissions data for the four pollution sources and thereby test the effectiveness of the model. Third, we predict the annual emissions of the four pollution sources in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area for a future period. The prediction results reveal the annual emission trends for the major wastewater types, and indicate the primary sources of water pollution in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area. Based on our predictions, we suggest several countermeasures against water pollution and towards the sustainable development of the water environment in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area
Hydrology (agriculture · Resource (disambiguation · Sustainable development · Three gorges · Wastewater · Water pollution · Water resource management · Water resources · Engineering · Environmental Science · Grey System Theory Applications · Water Quality and Pollution Assessment · Water resources management and optimization · Ecology · Environmental Engineering · Pollution
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| Highly cited | No |
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