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Comparison of Arima and LSTM in Forecasting the Incidence of HFMD Combined and Uncombined with Exogenous Meteorological Variables in Ningbo, China

Bibliographic Data

ID15506410
AuthorsRui Zhang (0000-0003-0194-5295, Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention), Zhen Guo (0000-0002-6563-5934, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College), Yujie Meng (Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention), Songwang Wang (0000-0001-6541-8692, Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention), Shaoqiong Li (Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention), Ran Niu (Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention), Yu Wang (0009-0005-4222-2626, Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention), Qing Guo (0009-0007-0292-6930, Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention, corresponding author), Yonghong Li (0000-0002-2623-357X, Chinese Center For Disease Control and Prevention, corresponding author)
Year2021
Volume18
Issue11
Pages6174-6174
Publication date2021-06-07
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601
PublisherMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3390/ijerph18116174
PMID34200378
OpenAlexW3167391624
LanguageEN
Citations received10
References cited28

Multivariate LSTM is the best among the four models to fit the daily incidence of HFMD in Ningbo. It can provide a scientific method to build the HFMD early warning system and the methodology can also be applied to other communicable diseases

Autoregressive integrated moving average · China · Geography · Incidence (geometry · Meteorology · Statistics · Time series · Climate Change and Health Impacts · Environmental Science · Influenza Virus Research Studies · Mathematics

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Unique citing works10
Citations per year2.5
Citation span2022 - 2026 (5)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 10

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