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Is It Possible to Predict the Length of Stay of Patients Undergoing Hip-Replacement Surgery

Bibliographic Data

ID15506527
AuthorsTeresa Angela Trunfio (0000-0003-0929-567X, University of Naples Federico II, corresponding author), Anna Borrelli (0000-0002-2633-8507, Ospedali Riuniti San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi d'Aragona), Giovanni Improta (0000-0002-9485-1687, University of Naples Federico II)
Year2022
Volume19
Issue10
Pages6219-6219
Publication date2022-05-20
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601
PublisherMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3390/ijerph19106219
PMID35627755
OpenAlexW4280573379
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited33

The proximal fracture of the femur and hip is the most common reason for hospitalization in orthopedic departments. In Italy, 115,989 hip-replacement surgeries were performed in 2019, showing the economic relevance of studying this type of procedure. This study analyzed the data relating to patients who underwent hip-replacement surgery in the years 2010-2020 at the "San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi d'Aragona" University Hospital of Salerno. The multiple linear regression (MLR) model and regression and classification algorithms were implemented in order to predict the total length of stay (LOS). Lastly, using a statistical analysis, the impact of COVID-19 was evaluated. The results obtained from the regression analysis showed that the best model was MLR, with an R 2 value of 0.616, compared with XGBoost, Gradient-Boosted Tree, and Random Forest, with R 2 values of 0.552, 0.543, and 0.448, respectively. The t -test showed that the variables that most influenced the LOS, with the exception of pre-operative LOS, were gender, age, anemia, fracture/dislocation, and urinary disorders. Among the classification algorithms, the best result was obtained with Random Forest, with a sensitivity of the longest LOS of over 89%. In terms of the overall accuracy, Random Forest and Gradient-Boosted Tree achieved a value of 71.76% and an error of 28.24%, followed by Decision Tree, with an accuracy of 71.13% and an error of 28.87%, and, finally, Support Vector Machine, with an accuracy of 65.06% and an error of 34.94%. A significant difference in cardiovascular disease, fracture/dislocation, and post-operative LOS variables was shown by the chi-squared test and Mann-Whitney test in the comparison between 2019 (before COVID-19) and 2020 (in full pandemic emergency conditions)

Decision tree · Hip fracture · Hip replacement · Linear regression · Machine learning · Orthopedic surgery · Osteoporosis · Random forest · Regression analysis · Statistics · Computer Science · Hip and Femur Fractures · Hip disorders and treatments · Mathematics · Medicine · Orthopaedic implants and arthroplasty · Internal Medicine · Surgery

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year0.25
Citation span2022 - 2022 (1)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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